← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
21.1%
Within 2 Positions
4.3
Avg Position Diff
19
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1University of Vermont2.90+7.74vs Predicted
-
2University of Rhode Island3.09+6.01vs Predicted
-
3Connecticut College3.21+4.54vs Predicted
-
4University of Pennsylvania2.87+4.92vs Predicted
-
5Cornell University3.14+2.94vs Predicted
-
6Salve Regina University2.21+5.63vs Predicted
-
7Christopher Newport University2.21+4.93vs Predicted
-
8U. S. Naval Academy3.17-0.15vs Predicted
-
9University of South Carolina1.86+4.04vs Predicted
-
10SUNY Maritime College2.69-0.38vs Predicted
-
11Fordham University2.71-1.35vs Predicted
-
12Brown University3.48-5.46vs Predicted
-
13University of Florida2.20-1.33vs Predicted
-
14Old Dominion University2.82-4.76vs Predicted
-
15Eckerd College2.34-3.87vs Predicted
-
16Brown University3.18-8.56vs Predicted
-
17Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.90-3.96vs Predicted
-
18University of Virginia1.63-3.84vs Predicted
-
19Boston University2.10-7.09vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
8.74University of Vermont2.900.1%1st Place
-
8.01University of Rhode Island3.090.1%1st Place
-
7.54Connecticut College3.210.1%1st Place
-
8.92University of Pennsylvania2.870.1%1st Place
-
7.94Cornell University3.140.1%1st Place
-
11.63Salve Regina University2.210.0%1st Place
-
11.93Christopher Newport University2.210.0%1st Place
-
7.85U. S. Naval Academy3.170.1%1st Place
-
13.04University of South Carolina1.860.0%1st Place
-
9.62SUNY Maritime College2.690.1%1st Place
-
9.65Fordham University2.710.0%1st Place
-
6.54Brown University3.480.1%1st Place
-
11.67University of Florida2.200.0%1st Place
-
9.24Old Dominion University2.820.1%1st Place
-
11.13Eckerd College2.340.0%1st Place
-
7.44Brown University3.180.1%1st Place
-
13.04Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.900.0%1st Place
-
14.16University of Virginia1.630.0%1st Place
-
11.91Boston University2.100.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| William Crary | 5.2% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 1.3% |
| Dakota Northrup | 7.9% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 8.6% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 4.7% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 1.3% | 0.4% |
| Hugh MacGillivray | 8.5% | 9.1% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 0.8% |
| Drew Gallagher | 5.5% | 7.5% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 0.9% |
| Clark Uhl | 5.6% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 4.4% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 2.7% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.3% |
| Sean Beaulieu | 3.8% | 2.8% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 3.1% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 9.2% | 8.4% | 8.9% |
| Austin Powers | 3.8% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 7.9% | 5.6% | 8.0% | 8.7% | 7.9% | 8.4% | 7.6% |
| Michael Madigan | 8.4% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 0.8% | 0.5% |
| John Fewell | 2.8% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 7.6% | 9.8% | 12.7% | 14.6% |
| Kyle Comerford | 5.3% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 4.6% | 3.0% | 2.0% |
| Matt Cappetta | 4.9% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 2.3% |
| Patrick Shanahan | 10.7% | 10.5% | 7.4% | 8.4% | 8.3% | 8.7% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 1.9% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Jack Famiglietti | 3.7% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 6.1% | 7.8% | 6.1% | 7.9% | 6.5% | 8.7% | 8.8% | 6.3% |
| Dreugh Phillips | 5.6% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 4.1% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 1.8% | 1.9% |
| Samuel Normington | 4.2% | 3.3% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 8.4% | 7.5% | 6.2% |
| Hannah Steadman | 7.5% | 8.3% | 9.3% | 7.5% | 8.9% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 2.6% | 4.6% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 1.8% | 0.6% | 0.5% |
| Jeffrey Adam | 1.9% | 3.0% | 2.3% | 3.4% | 2.3% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 2.6% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 4.1% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 9.1% | 13.0% | 14.4% |
| Alexander Singh | 1.4% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 3.6% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 14.0% | 23.2% |
| Michael Sabourin | 3.3% | 2.7% | 3.7% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 8.0% | 8.7% | 9.1% | 7.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.