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📊 Prediction Accuracy
15.8%
Within 2 Positions
4.0
Avg Position Diff
19
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University3.48+5.36vs Predicted
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2University of South Carolina1.86+11.26vs Predicted
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3University of Pennsylvania2.87+6.06vs Predicted
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4Connecticut College3.21+3.43vs Predicted
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5Cornell University3.14+2.94vs Predicted
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6Christopher Newport University2.21+5.72vs Predicted
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7SUNY Maritime College2.69+2.76vs Predicted
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8U. S. Naval Academy3.17-0.21vs Predicted
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9University of Vermont2.90-0.38vs Predicted
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10University of Rhode Island3.09-2.18vs Predicted
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11Old Dominion University2.82-1.94vs Predicted
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12Brown University3.18-4.13vs Predicted
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13Fordham University2.71-3.57vs Predicted
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14Eckerd College2.34-2.56vs Predicted
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15University of Florida2.20-3.30vs Predicted
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16Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.90-2.97vs Predicted
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17University of Virginia1.63-2.91vs Predicted
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18Salve Regina University2.21-6.27vs Predicted
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19Boston University2.10-7.12vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.36Brown University3.480.1%1st Place
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13.26University of South Carolina1.860.0%1st Place
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9.06University of Pennsylvania2.870.1%1st Place
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7.43Connecticut College3.210.1%1st Place
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7.94Cornell University3.140.1%1st Place
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11.72Christopher Newport University2.210.0%1st Place
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9.76SUNY Maritime College2.690.0%1st Place
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7.79U. S. Naval Academy3.170.1%1st Place
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8.62University of Vermont2.900.1%1st Place
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7.82University of Rhode Island3.090.1%1st Place
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9.06Old Dominion University2.820.1%1st Place
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7.87Brown University3.180.1%1st Place
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9.43Fordham University2.710.1%1st Place
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11.44Eckerd College2.340.0%1st Place
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11.7University of Florida2.200.0%1st Place
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13.03Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.900.0%1st Place
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14.09University of Virginia1.630.0%1st Place
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11.73Salve Regina University2.210.0%1st Place
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11.88Boston University2.100.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Patrick Shanahan | 9.7% | 11.7% | 9.2% | 10.0% | 9.6% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| John Fewell | 2.3% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 2.3% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 5.0% | 2.9% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 8.6% | 9.3% | 13.2% | 15.4% |
| Drew Gallagher | 6.4% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 4.3% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 1.9% |
| Hugh MacGillivray | 8.1% | 9.2% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 3.6% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 0.2% |
| Clark Uhl | 6.0% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 2.0% | 1.3% | 0.2% |
| Austin Powers | 3.7% | 2.8% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 4.6% | 2.9% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 9.1% | 9.3% | 8.8% |
| Kyle Comerford | 4.9% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 7.9% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 3.1% | 1.9% |
| Michael Madigan | 8.1% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 0.2% |
| William Crary | 6.8% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 3.4% | 1.9% | 1.2% |
| Dakota Northrup | 7.4% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 0.2% |
| Dreugh Phillips | 5.5% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 4.3% | 7.1% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 0.9% |
| Hannah Steadman | 8.1% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 2.1% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Matt Cappetta | 5.6% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 6.8% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 1.7% |
| Samuel Normington | 4.2% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 5.2% |
| Jack Famiglietti | 3.6% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 10.3% | 8.4% |
| Jeffrey Adam | 2.1% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 3.7% | 2.0% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 2.8% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 4.4% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 8.3% | 6.4% | 10.3% | 11.2% | 13.4% |
| Alexander Singh | 1.6% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 2.3% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 4.4% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 7.2% | 10.3% | 12.5% | 23.9% |
| Sean Beaulieu | 2.7% | 2.5% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 3.3% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 7.7% |
| Michael Sabourin | 3.2% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 2.1% | 3.3% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 8.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.