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📊 Prediction Accuracy
21.1%
Within 2 Positions
4.4
Avg Position Diff
19
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Connecticut College3.21+6.45vs Predicted
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2University of Rhode Island3.09+5.97vs Predicted
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3Fordham University2.71+6.69vs Predicted
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4Brown University3.18+3.54vs Predicted
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5SUNY Maritime College2.69+4.99vs Predicted
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6Eckerd College2.34+5.08vs Predicted
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7Cornell University3.14+0.76vs Predicted
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8University of Pennsylvania2.87+1.18vs Predicted
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9University of Virginia1.63+4.95vs Predicted
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10Old Dominion University2.82-1.00vs Predicted
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11Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.90+2.15vs Predicted
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12Brown University3.48-5.40vs Predicted
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13University of South Carolina1.86+0.07vs Predicted
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14U. S. Naval Academy3.17-6.29vs Predicted
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15University of Vermont2.90-6.27vs Predicted
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16Christopher Newport University2.21-4.26vs Predicted
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17University of Florida2.20-5.22vs Predicted
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18Boston University2.10-5.77vs Predicted
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19Salve Regina University2.21-7.62vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.45Connecticut College3.210.1%1st Place
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7.97University of Rhode Island3.090.1%1st Place
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9.69Fordham University2.710.1%1st Place
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7.54Brown University3.180.1%1st Place
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9.99SUNY Maritime College2.690.0%1st Place
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11.08Eckerd College2.340.0%1st Place
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7.76Cornell University3.140.1%1st Place
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9.18University of Pennsylvania2.870.1%1st Place
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13.95University of Virginia1.630.0%1st Place
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9.0Old Dominion University2.820.1%1st Place
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13.15Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.900.0%1st Place
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6.6Brown University3.480.1%1st Place
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13.07University of South Carolina1.860.0%1st Place
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7.71U. S. Naval Academy3.170.1%1st Place
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8.73University of Vermont2.900.1%1st Place
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11.74Christopher Newport University2.210.0%1st Place
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11.78University of Florida2.200.0%1st Place
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12.23Boston University2.100.0%1st Place
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11.38Salve Regina University2.210.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hugh MacGillivray | 7.9% | 9.0% | 8.8% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 8.6% | 6.9% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 6.1% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 2.7% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 0.3% |
| Dakota Northrup | 7.4% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 2.9% | 1.5% | 0.4% |
| Matt Cappetta | 5.1% | 6.7% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 4.6% | 3.5% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 2.5% |
| Hannah Steadman | 8.5% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 8.1% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.3% |
| Kyle Comerford | 3.4% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 5.0% | 3.4% | 2.6% |
| Samuel Normington | 4.2% | 3.2% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 3.1% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 3.6% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 6.6% | 6.4% |
| Clark Uhl | 7.9% | 8.1% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 2.3% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 0.4% |
| Drew Gallagher | 6.1% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 2.3% | 2.0% |
| Alexander Singh | 2.0% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 9.7% | 13.5% | 22.7% |
| Dreugh Phillips | 6.4% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 2.7% | 1.1% |
| Jeffrey Adam | 2.2% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 5.2% | 3.6% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 9.7% | 10.3% | 9.8% | 14.7% |
| Patrick Shanahan | 10.4% | 9.1% | 8.4% | 9.7% | 7.6% | 9.7% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| John Fewell | 2.8% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 9.8% | 13.3% | 13.5% |
| Michael Madigan | 7.4% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 8.8% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 2.5% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.5% |
| William Crary | 6.8% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 8.1% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 2.6% | 1.6% |
| Austin Powers | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 8.7% | 7.8% |
| Jack Famiglietti | 2.6% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 9.5% | 8.0% |
| Michael Sabourin | 2.5% | 1.8% | 3.9% | 2.5% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 11.3% | 8.7% |
| Sean Beaulieu | 3.5% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 6.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.