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📊 Prediction Accuracy
71.4%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Middlebury College1.50+2.51vs Predicted
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2Tufts University2.17+0.55vs Predicted
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3McGill University1.39+0.77vs Predicted
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4Queen's University1.64-0.61vs Predicted
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5McGill University1.31-1.06vs Predicted
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7Amherst College-0.14-1.04vs Predicted
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8Brandeis University0.59-3.11vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.51Middlebury College1.500.2%1st Place
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2.55Tufts University2.170.3%1st Place
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3.77McGill University1.390.1%1st Place
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3.39Queen's University1.640.2%1st Place
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3.94McGill University1.310.1%1st Place
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5.96Amherst College-0.140.0%1st Place
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4.89Brandeis University0.590.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jack Kerby-Miller | 16.3% | 19.0% | 15.8% | 17.1% | 14.6% | 12.1% | 5.1% |
| Colin Patterson | 30.8% | 25.2% | 19.0% | 13.2% | 7.5% | 3.2% | 1.1% |
| Wesley Yland | 13.6% | 13.9% | 16.8% | 18.8% | 17.7% | 13.4% | 5.8% |
| Arielle Morgan | 18.5% | 16.1% | 19.4% | 16.4% | 16.8% | 9.5% | 3.3% |
| Charlotte Skinner | 10.7% | 15.4% | 15.4% | 17.8% | 17.7% | 14.8% | 8.2% |
| Joshua McAuliffe | 3.1% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 7.6% | 9.8% | 17.9% | 56.0% |
| Jacob Hardy | 7.0% | 7.6% | 10.8% | 9.1% | 15.9% | 29.1% | 20.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.