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📊 Prediction Accuracy
23.5%
Within 2 Positions
3.7
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Pennsylvania2.16+5.19vs Predicted
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2Boston University1.14+6.95vs Predicted
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3George Washington University1.44+5.92vs Predicted
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4Old Dominion University1.59+3.86vs Predicted
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5Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.77+2.10vs Predicted
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6SUNY Maritime College0.50+5.86vs Predicted
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7Webb Institute1.30+1.08vs Predicted
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8Jacksonville University2.10-1.41vs Predicted
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9Fordham University1.98-2.44vs Predicted
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10Northeastern University1.59+0.13vs Predicted
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11Florida State University1.69-3.23vs Predicted
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12Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.31-5.61vs Predicted
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13U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.99-2.70vs Predicted
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14Eckerd College0.85-3.16vs Predicted
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15University of Michigan-0.26-0.71vs Predicted
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16University of California at Santa Barbara1.67-7.72vs Predicted
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17University of Wisconsin0.13-4.10vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.19University of Pennsylvania2.1610.8%1st Place
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8.95Boston University1.145.3%1st Place
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8.92George Washington University1.444.9%1st Place
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7.86Old Dominion University1.597.5%1st Place
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7.1Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.778.1%1st Place
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11.86SUNY Maritime College0.502.8%1st Place
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8.08Webb Institute1.306.1%1st Place
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6.59Jacksonville University2.109.7%1st Place
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6.56Fordham University1.989.0%1st Place
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10.13Northeastern University1.593.9%1st Place
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7.77Florida State University1.696.9%1st Place
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6.39Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.3110.5%1st Place
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10.3U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.993.4%1st Place
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10.84Eckerd College0.852.8%1st Place
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14.29University of Michigan-0.260.9%1st Place
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8.28University of California at Santa Barbara1.676.2%1st Place
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12.9University of Wisconsin0.131.5%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jackson McAliley | 10.8% | 10.9% | 9.1% | 9.6% | 8.6% | 9.0% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 3.3% | 2.7% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Tiare Sierra | 5.3% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 1.9% |
| Jedidiah Bechtel | 4.9% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 3.8% | 1.8% |
| Diogo Silva | 7.5% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 1.0% |
| Juan Carlos LaCerda Jones | 8.1% | 7.6% | 8.7% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 2.6% | 1.5% | 0.2% |
| Nathaniel Hartwell | 2.8% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 9.6% | 11.5% | 15.4% | 11.8% |
| Everett Botwinick | 6.1% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 4.2% | 2.5% | 0.8% |
| Owen Bannasch | 9.7% | 8.9% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 7.9% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 2.8% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 0.4% |
| Jacob Zils | 9.0% | 10.1% | 8.1% | 9.0% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 2.6% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Adrian Winkelman | 3.9% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 9.3% | 8.2% | 4.5% |
| Peter Foley | 6.9% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 2.2% | 0.8% |
| Sam Bruce | 10.5% | 9.7% | 8.6% | 9.2% | 9.3% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Reed McAllister | 3.4% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 10.8% | 8.7% | 5.5% |
| Pj Rodrigues | 2.8% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 9.8% | 10.5% | 9.0% | 7.1% |
| Jack Hammett | 0.9% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 6.2% | 9.8% | 15.7% | 41.9% |
| Henry Boeger | 6.2% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 2.6% | 1.4% |
| Nigel Yu | 1.5% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 8.4% | 11.2% | 19.1% | 20.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.