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📊 Prediction Accuracy
10.5%
Within 2 Positions
4.6
Avg Position Diff
19
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University3.48+5.17vs Predicted
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2Connecticut College3.21+5.28vs Predicted
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3University of Rhode Island3.09+4.77vs Predicted
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4Fordham University2.71+5.38vs Predicted
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5University of South Carolina1.86+8.35vs Predicted
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6Old Dominion University2.82+2.84vs Predicted
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7Cornell University3.14+0.53vs Predicted
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8Christopher Newport University2.21+3.83vs Predicted
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9Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.90+3.66vs Predicted
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10University of Virginia1.63+3.87vs Predicted
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11University of Pennsylvania2.87-2.31vs Predicted
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12U. S. Naval Academy3.22-4.53vs Predicted
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13SUNY Maritime College2.14-1.32vs Predicted
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14University of Vermont2.90-5.40vs Predicted
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15Salve Regina University2.21-3.63vs Predicted
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16University of Florida2.20-4.48vs Predicted
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17Brown University3.18-9.73vs Predicted
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18Eckerd College1.82-4.90vs Predicted
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19Boston University2.10-7.38vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.17Brown University3.480.1%1st Place
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7.28Connecticut College3.210.1%1st Place
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7.77University of Rhode Island3.090.1%1st Place
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9.38Fordham University2.710.0%1st Place
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13.35University of South Carolina1.860.0%1st Place
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8.84Old Dominion University2.820.1%1st Place
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7.53Cornell University3.140.1%1st Place
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11.83Christopher Newport University2.210.0%1st Place
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12.66Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.900.0%1st Place
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13.87University of Virginia1.630.0%1st Place
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8.69University of Pennsylvania2.870.1%1st Place
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7.47U. S. Naval Academy3.220.1%1st Place
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11.68SUNY Maritime College2.140.0%1st Place
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8.6University of Vermont2.900.1%1st Place
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11.37Salve Regina University2.210.0%1st Place
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11.52University of Florida2.200.0%1st Place
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7.27Brown University3.180.1%1st Place
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13.1Eckerd College1.820.0%1st Place
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11.62Boston University2.100.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Patrick Shanahan | 9.9% | 12.7% | 10.1% | 8.9% | 7.9% | 8.6% | 9.4% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Hugh MacGillivray | 8.5% | 9.2% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.3% |
| Dakota Northrup | 8.0% | 8.5% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 2.7% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 0.7% |
| Matt Cappetta | 4.0% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 2.0% | 1.4% |
| John Fewell | 1.6% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 9.0% | 7.5% | 10.7% | 11.2% | 14.4% |
| Dreugh Phillips | 7.0% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 3.7% | 5.1% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 2.3% | 1.9% |
| Clark Uhl | 7.7% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 9.1% | 6.3% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 3.0% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 0.3% |
| Austin Powers | 4.1% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 8.6% | 7.9% | 8.6% | 7.9% |
| Jeffrey Adam | 2.2% | 3.7% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 9.9% | 9.0% | 11.3% | 11.6% |
| Alexander Singh | 2.0% | 2.4% | 1.1% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 8.6% | 9.3% | 13.7% | 19.5% |
| Drew Gallagher | 5.1% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 7.9% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 1.1% |
| Peter Hogan | 8.7% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 8.3% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
| John Lawless | 3.7% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 2.7% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 8.4% | 7.6% | 6.4% |
| William Crary | 6.5% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 8.3% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 1.0% |
| Sean Beaulieu | 3.8% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 9.1% | 6.8% | 7.0% |
| Jack Famiglietti | 3.0% | 2.6% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 6.1% |
| Hannah Steadman | 9.1% | 7.4% | 10.3% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 3.2% | 2.1% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Samuel Peirson | 2.1% | 0.9% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 9.1% | 12.5% | 13.8% |
| Michael Sabourin | 3.0% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 6.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.