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📊 Prediction Accuracy
15.8%
Within 2 Positions
4.1
Avg Position Diff
19
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University3.48+5.14vs Predicted
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2U. S. Naval Academy3.22+5.25vs Predicted
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3Cornell University3.14+4.64vs Predicted
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4Connecticut College3.21+3.20vs Predicted
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5University of Pennsylvania2.87+3.91vs Predicted
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6Christopher Newport University2.21+5.41vs Predicted
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7University of Vermont2.90+1.62vs Predicted
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8Old Dominion University2.82+1.14vs Predicted
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9SUNY Maritime College2.14+2.66vs Predicted
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10Eckerd College1.82+3.16vs Predicted
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11University of Virginia1.63+2.91vs Predicted
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12Fordham University2.71-2.30vs Predicted
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13Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.90-0.33vs Predicted
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14University of Florida2.20-2.24vs Predicted
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15Salve Regina University2.21-3.63vs Predicted
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16University of South Carolina1.86-3.11vs Predicted
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17University of Rhode Island3.09-9.29vs Predicted
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18Boston University2.10-6.06vs Predicted
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19Brown University3.18-12.06vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.14Brown University3.480.1%1st Place
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7.25U. S. Naval Academy3.220.1%1st Place
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7.64Cornell University3.140.1%1st Place
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7.2Connecticut College3.210.1%1st Place
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8.91University of Pennsylvania2.870.0%1st Place
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11.41Christopher Newport University2.210.0%1st Place
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8.62University of Vermont2.900.1%1st Place
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9.14Old Dominion University2.820.1%1st Place
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11.66SUNY Maritime College2.140.0%1st Place
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13.16Eckerd College1.820.0%1st Place
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13.91University of Virginia1.630.0%1st Place
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9.7Fordham University2.710.1%1st Place
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12.67Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.900.0%1st Place
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11.76University of Florida2.200.0%1st Place
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11.37Salve Regina University2.210.0%1st Place
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12.89University of South Carolina1.860.0%1st Place
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7.71University of Rhode Island3.090.1%1st Place
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11.94Boston University2.100.0%1st Place
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6.94Brown University3.180.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Patrick Shanahan | 10.4% | 11.8% | 10.4% | 8.8% | 9.0% | 9.0% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Peter Hogan | 8.8% | 9.0% | 6.9% | 9.6% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 2.7% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.3% |
| Clark Uhl | 8.1% | 8.9% | 6.8% | 8.3% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 0.7% |
| Hugh MacGillivray | 8.5% | 7.6% | 8.4% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| Drew Gallagher | 4.6% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 5.1% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 2.3% | 1.6% | 1.3% |
| Austin Powers | 3.5% | 3.2% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 9.9% | 7.3% | 7.0% |
| William Crary | 6.1% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 1.6% | 0.7% |
| Dreugh Phillips | 6.2% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 7.9% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 1.7% |
| John Lawless | 2.8% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 9.2% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 6.7% |
| Samuel Peirson | 2.3% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 9.2% | 13.1% | 13.6% |
| Alexander Singh | 1.4% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 2.3% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 5.6% | 4.0% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 9.4% | 12.9% | 19.9% |
| Matt Cappetta | 5.1% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 3.2% | 1.3% |
| Jeffrey Adam | 2.7% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 4.7% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 9.4% | 6.9% | 9.4% | 9.9% | 11.8% |
| Jack Famiglietti | 4.3% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 6.5% | 4.7% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 9.3% | 7.9% | 6.2% |
| Sean Beaulieu | 3.4% | 3.1% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 8.4% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 7.5% |
| John Fewell | 2.0% | 2.0% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 9.1% | 11.7% | 12.8% |
| Dakota Northrup | 6.9% | 9.3% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 6.3% | 4.4% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| Michael Sabourin | 2.7% | 1.7% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 3.3% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 8.4% | 9.0% | 7.9% |
| Hannah Steadman | 10.2% | 7.0% | 9.1% | 8.8% | 8.7% | 8.5% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 2.6% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.