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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
4.0
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1SUNY Maritime College2.69+8.36vs Predicted
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2Connecticut College3.21+5.22vs Predicted
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3Brown University3.48+3.11vs Predicted
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4Fordham University2.71+4.97vs Predicted
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5Cornell University3.14+2.30vs Predicted
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6Boston University2.10+5.66vs Predicted
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7Christopher Newport University2.21+4.16vs Predicted
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8University of Pennsylvania2.87+0.35vs Predicted
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9Old Dominion University2.82-0.49vs Predicted
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10Salve Regina University2.21+1.45vs Predicted
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11Brown University3.18-3.76vs Predicted
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12U. S. Naval Academy3.22-4.65vs Predicted
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13University of South Carolina1.86-0.56vs Predicted
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14Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.90-1.95vs Predicted
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15University of Rhode Island3.09-7.59vs Predicted
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16Eckerd College1.82-3.26vs Predicted
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17University of Vermont2.90-8.56vs Predicted
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18University of Virginia1.63-4.75vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.36SUNY Maritime College2.690.1%1st Place
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7.22Connecticut College3.210.1%1st Place
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6.11Brown University3.480.1%1st Place
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8.97Fordham University2.710.1%1st Place
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7.3Cornell University3.140.1%1st Place
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11.66Boston University2.100.0%1st Place
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11.16Christopher Newport University2.210.0%1st Place
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8.35University of Pennsylvania2.870.1%1st Place
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8.51Old Dominion University2.820.1%1st Place
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11.45Salve Regina University2.210.0%1st Place
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7.24Brown University3.180.1%1st Place
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7.35U. S. Naval Academy3.220.1%1st Place
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12.44University of South Carolina1.860.0%1st Place
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12.05Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.900.0%1st Place
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7.41University of Rhode Island3.090.1%1st Place
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12.74Eckerd College1.820.0%1st Place
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8.44University of Vermont2.900.1%1st Place
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13.25University of Virginia1.630.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kyle Comerford | 5.4% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 4.1% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 4.8% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 4.1% | 3.0% |
| Hugh MacGillivray | 6.4% | 7.1% | 8.9% | 9.2% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 8.4% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.4% |
| Patrick Shanahan | 11.0% | 9.4% | 11.1% | 8.6% | 9.7% | 8.4% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Matt Cappetta | 5.2% | 5.9% | 7.8% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 3.3% | 2.7% |
| Clark Uhl | 8.4% | 10.1% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 3.2% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 0.2% |
| Michael Sabourin | 2.7% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 4.4% | 2.9% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 8.5% | 8.7% | 8.8% | 10.7% |
| Austin Powers | 3.3% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 3.6% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 10.6% | 8.4% | 6.8% |
| Drew Gallagher | 6.1% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 4.1% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 1.3% |
| Dreugh Phillips | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 5.4% | 7.1% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 3.5% | 2.3% | 0.9% |
| Sean Beaulieu | 4.2% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 5.6% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 9.0% | 10.8% | 8.0% |
| Hannah Steadman | 8.5% | 8.7% | 8.7% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 1.5% | 0.3% |
| Peter Hogan | 8.3% | 9.5% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 0.3% |
| John Fewell | 2.7% | 1.7% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 6.8% | 8.8% | 10.3% | 12.8% | 14.6% |
| Jeffrey Adam | 2.9% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 11.1% | 10.6% | 12.5% |
| Dakota Northrup | 8.1% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 9.3% | 8.1% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 0.6% |
| Samuel Peirson | 2.3% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 9.3% | 8.2% | 13.2% | 16.5% |
| William Crary | 6.7% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 5.0% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 0.9% |
| Alexander Singh | 2.3% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 2.5% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 8.2% | 12.3% | 13.1% | 20.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.