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📊 Prediction Accuracy
44.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Connecticut College3.21+6.22vs Predicted
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2University of Vermont2.90+6.49vs Predicted
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3Brown University3.18+4.31vs Predicted
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4SUNY Maritime College2.69+5.06vs Predicted
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5Brown University3.48+1.01vs Predicted
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6U. S. Naval Academy3.22+1.02vs Predicted
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7Boston University2.10+4.60vs Predicted
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8Old Dominion University2.82+0.49vs Predicted
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9Fordham University2.71-0.02vs Predicted
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10University of Pennsylvania2.87-1.28vs Predicted
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11Christopher Newport University2.21+0.32vs Predicted
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12Eckerd College1.82+0.98vs Predicted
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13Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.90-0.81vs Predicted
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14Cornell University3.14-6.94vs Predicted
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15Salve Regina University2.21-3.87vs Predicted
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16University of Rhode Island3.09-8.43vs Predicted
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17University of Virginia1.63-3.50vs Predicted
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18University of South Carolina1.86-5.64vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.22Connecticut College3.210.1%1st Place
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8.49University of Vermont2.900.1%1st Place
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7.31Brown University3.180.1%1st Place
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9.06SUNY Maritime College2.690.1%1st Place
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6.01Brown University3.480.1%1st Place
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7.02U. S. Naval Academy3.220.1%1st Place
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11.6Boston University2.100.0%1st Place
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8.49Old Dominion University2.820.1%1st Place
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8.98Fordham University2.710.0%1st Place
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8.72University of Pennsylvania2.870.1%1st Place
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11.32Christopher Newport University2.210.0%1st Place
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12.98Eckerd College1.820.0%1st Place
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12.19Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.900.0%1st Place
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7.06Cornell University3.140.1%1st Place
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11.13Salve Regina University2.210.0%1st Place
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7.57University of Rhode Island3.090.1%1st Place
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13.5University of Virginia1.630.0%1st Place
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12.36University of South Carolina1.860.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hugh MacGillivray | 8.3% | 7.8% | 8.7% | 9.0% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 0.3% |
| William Crary | 5.1% | 4.7% | 7.4% | 5.2% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 1.9% | 0.8% |
| Hannah Steadman | 8.0% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 8.4% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 9.6% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 0.0% |
| Kyle Comerford | 5.7% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 3.3% | 2.5% |
| Patrick Shanahan | 12.7% | 12.3% | 8.7% | 10.7% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 2.2% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Peter Hogan | 8.7% | 8.9% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 8.9% | 8.5% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 0.2% |
| Michael Sabourin | 3.2% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 8.7% | 9.4% | 9.9% | 9.1% |
| Dreugh Phillips | 6.1% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 4.7% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 3.5% | 2.2% | 1.0% |
| Matt Cappetta | 4.8% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 1.6% |
| Drew Gallagher | 6.8% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 7.9% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 4.9% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 1.0% |
| Austin Powers | 3.6% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 8.3% | 10.0% | 9.8% | 7.5% |
| Samuel Peirson | 1.6% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 3.7% | 5.4% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 8.6% | 10.3% | 14.0% | 18.1% |
| Jeffrey Adam | 2.9% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 8.9% | 9.0% | 12.4% | 13.5% |
| Clark Uhl | 7.5% | 10.3% | 8.4% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 5.1% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 0.5% |
| Sean Beaulieu | 2.6% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 2.2% | 3.7% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 9.8% | 7.8% | 7.2% |
| Dakota Northrup | 7.5% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 8.4% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 2.8% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 1.4% | 0.4% |
| Alexander Singh | 2.3% | 1.1% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 3.3% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 7.9% | 10.9% | 14.1% | 23.0% |
| John Fewell | 2.6% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 9.0% | 9.7% | 11.6% | 13.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.