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📊 Prediction Accuracy
26.3%
Within 2 Positions
4.3
Avg Position Diff
19
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Cornell University3.14+6.68vs Predicted
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2SUNY Maritime College2.69+7.64vs Predicted
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3Christopher Newport University1.89+10.08vs Predicted
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4University of Rhode Island3.09+3.83vs Predicted
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5Connecticut College3.21+2.61vs Predicted
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6University of Pennsylvania2.87+2.77vs Predicted
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7University of Vermont2.90+1.73vs Predicted
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8Old Dominion University2.82+1.27vs Predicted
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9Boston University2.10+3.01vs Predicted
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10U. S. Naval Academy3.14-2.44vs Predicted
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11Salve Regina University2.21+0.78vs Predicted
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12Brown University3.48-5.49vs Predicted
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13University of Florida2.20-1.41vs Predicted
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14Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.90-0.79vs Predicted
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15Fordham University2.71-5.58vs Predicted
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16University of South Carolina1.86-2.87vs Predicted
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17Brown University3.18-9.57vs Predicted
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18Eckerd College2.34-6.96vs Predicted
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19University of Virginia1.63-5.28vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.68Cornell University3.140.1%1st Place
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9.64SUNY Maritime College2.690.0%1st Place
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13.08Christopher Newport University1.890.0%1st Place
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7.83University of Rhode Island3.090.1%1st Place
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7.61Connecticut College3.210.1%1st Place
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8.77University of Pennsylvania2.870.1%1st Place
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8.73University of Vermont2.900.1%1st Place
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9.27Old Dominion University2.820.1%1st Place
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12.01Boston University2.100.0%1st Place
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7.56U. S. Naval Academy3.140.1%1st Place
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11.78Salve Regina University2.210.0%1st Place
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6.51Brown University3.480.1%1st Place
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11.59University of Florida2.200.0%1st Place
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13.21Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.900.0%1st Place
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9.42Fordham University2.710.1%1st Place
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13.13University of South Carolina1.860.0%1st Place
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7.43Brown University3.180.1%1st Place
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11.04Eckerd College2.340.0%1st Place
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13.72University of Virginia1.630.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Clark Uhl | 7.1% | 8.0% | 9.3% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 0.5% |
| Kyle Comerford | 4.8% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 3.6% | 1.8% |
| Spencer Charney | 2.5% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 4.7% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 6.9% | 8.5% | 11.4% | 10.8% | 15.3% |
| Dakota Northrup | 7.5% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 8.2% | 5.9% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 0.4% |
| Hugh MacGillivray | 6.4% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 8.9% | 7.9% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 0.1% |
| Drew Gallagher | 6.9% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 7.6% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 3.6% | 2.0% | 1.6% |
| William Crary | 6.7% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 1.1% |
| Dreugh Phillips | 5.8% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 4.3% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 1.7% |
| Michael Sabourin | 3.3% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 8.1% | 8.4% | 9.0% | 9.2% |
| Joshua Walton | 8.0% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 5.6% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Sean Beaulieu | 2.8% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 5.4% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 8.2% | 6.3% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 7.2% |
| Patrick Shanahan | 10.5% | 9.3% | 8.0% | 9.7% | 8.5% | 8.8% | 6.5% | 8.4% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 2.6% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jack Famiglietti | 3.4% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 8.4% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 7.0% |
| Jeffrey Adam | 3.1% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 3.6% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 4.3% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 9.4% | 12.8% | 13.3% |
| Matt Cappetta | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 6.4% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 2.6% |
| John Fewell | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 2.3% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 2.4% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 9.2% | 12.2% | 14.1% |
| Hannah Steadman | 8.3% | 9.6% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 2.6% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.3% |
| Samuel Normington | 3.2% | 2.2% | 4.9% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 5.0% |
| Alexander Singh | 2.3% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 4.7% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 10.7% | 12.7% | 18.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.