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📊 Prediction Accuracy
26.3%
Within 2 Positions
4.4
Avg Position Diff
19
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Connecticut College3.21+6.43vs Predicted
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2Brown University3.48+4.37vs Predicted
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3University of Pennsylvania2.87+5.96vs Predicted
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4University of Vermont2.90+4.69vs Predicted
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5SUNY Maritime College2.69+4.92vs Predicted
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6Cornell University3.14+1.63vs Predicted
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7University of Virginia1.63+7.07vs Predicted
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8University of South Carolina1.86+5.36vs Predicted
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9University of Rhode Island3.09-1.33vs Predicted
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10Eckerd College2.34+1.07vs Predicted
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11U. S. Naval Academy3.14-3.40vs Predicted
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12University of Florida2.20+0.16vs Predicted
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13Salve Regina University2.21-1.54vs Predicted
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14Fordham University2.71-4.35vs Predicted
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15Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.90-2.18vs Predicted
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16Old Dominion University2.82-7.08vs Predicted
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17Christopher Newport University1.89-3.98vs Predicted
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18Boston University2.10-5.89vs Predicted
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19Brown University3.18-11.91vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.43Connecticut College3.210.1%1st Place
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6.37Brown University3.480.1%1st Place
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8.96University of Pennsylvania2.870.1%1st Place
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8.69University of Vermont2.900.1%1st Place
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9.92SUNY Maritime College2.690.0%1st Place
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7.63Cornell University3.140.1%1st Place
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14.07University of Virginia1.630.0%1st Place
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13.36University of South Carolina1.860.0%1st Place
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7.67University of Rhode Island3.090.1%1st Place
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11.07Eckerd College2.340.0%1st Place
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7.6U. S. Naval Academy3.140.1%1st Place
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12.16University of Florida2.200.0%1st Place
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11.46Salve Regina University2.210.0%1st Place
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9.65Fordham University2.710.1%1st Place
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12.82Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.900.0%1st Place
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8.92Old Dominion University2.820.1%1st Place
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13.02Christopher Newport University1.890.0%1st Place
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12.11Boston University2.100.0%1st Place
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7.09Brown University3.180.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hugh MacGillivray | 6.5% | 9.0% | 8.3% | 8.9% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| Patrick Shanahan | 11.2% | 9.8% | 11.2% | 8.4% | 8.3% | 7.9% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.2% |
| Drew Gallagher | 5.8% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 2.2% | 1.4% |
| William Crary | 5.0% | 8.0% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 1.4% | 1.0% |
| Kyle Comerford | 3.9% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 4.6% | 3.6% | 1.9% |
| Clark Uhl | 9.6% | 7.0% | 9.3% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 2.2% | 1.0% | 0.8% |
| Alexander Singh | 2.3% | 2.3% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 10.4% | 15.9% | 20.4% |
| John Fewell | 2.8% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 1.2% | 3.0% | 2.3% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 2.8% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 8.6% | 9.8% | 13.8% | 15.3% |
| Dakota Northrup | 8.5% | 8.6% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 7.7% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 2.8% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 0.8% |
| Samuel Normington | 3.9% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 5.3% | 4.1% |
| Joshua Walton | 7.3% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 6.4% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 0.2% |
| Jack Famiglietti | 2.6% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 4.5% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 8.7% | 8.4% | 7.9% |
| Sean Beaulieu | 3.2% | 4.1% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 5.8% |
| Matt Cappetta | 5.3% | 3.7% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 1.7% |
| Jeffrey Adam | 2.8% | 2.6% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 3.9% | 2.7% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 9.3% | 11.3% | 14.2% |
| Dreugh Phillips | 5.4% | 4.8% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 0.7% |
| Spencer Charney | 2.0% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 2.3% | 3.6% | 2.6% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 9.0% | 10.5% | 12.2% | 13.5% |
| Michael Sabourin | 1.8% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 8.5% | 7.4% | 9.7% |
| Hannah Steadman | 10.1% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 9.4% | 9.2% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.