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📊 Prediction Accuracy
31.6%
Within 2 Positions
4.3
Avg Position Diff
19
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University3.48+5.28vs Predicted
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2Eckerd College2.34+9.14vs Predicted
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3Fordham University2.71+6.55vs Predicted
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4University of Vermont2.90+4.64vs Predicted
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5University of Pennsylvania2.87+3.99vs Predicted
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6Salve Regina University2.21+5.54vs Predicted
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7U. S. Naval Academy3.14+0.64vs Predicted
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8Old Dominion University2.82+1.29vs Predicted
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9Cornell University3.14-1.58vs Predicted
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10SUNY Maritime College2.14+1.83vs Predicted
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11Connecticut College3.21-3.76vs Predicted
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12University of South Carolina1.86+1.54vs Predicted
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13Brown University3.18-5.79vs Predicted
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14Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.90-0.91vs Predicted
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15University of Rhode Island3.09-7.28vs Predicted
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16Christopher Newport University2.21-4.44vs Predicted
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17Boston University2.10-4.90vs Predicted
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18University of Virginia1.63-4.01vs Predicted
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19University of Florida2.20-7.76vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.28Brown University3.480.1%1st Place
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11.14Eckerd College2.340.0%1st Place
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9.55Fordham University2.710.1%1st Place
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8.64University of Vermont2.900.1%1st Place
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8.99University of Pennsylvania2.870.0%1st Place
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11.54Salve Regina University2.210.0%1st Place
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7.64U. S. Naval Academy3.140.1%1st Place
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9.29Old Dominion University2.820.1%1st Place
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7.42Cornell University3.140.1%1st Place
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11.83SUNY Maritime College2.140.0%1st Place
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7.24Connecticut College3.210.1%1st Place
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13.54University of South Carolina1.860.0%1st Place
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7.21Brown University3.180.1%1st Place
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13.09Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.900.0%1st Place
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7.72University of Rhode Island3.090.1%1st Place
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11.56Christopher Newport University2.210.0%1st Place
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12.1Boston University2.100.0%1st Place
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13.99University of Virginia1.630.0%1st Place
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11.24University of Florida2.200.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Patrick Shanahan | 10.1% | 11.2% | 9.7% | 9.8% | 10.3% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Samuel Normington | 3.8% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 4.9% |
| Matt Cappetta | 5.2% | 6.3% | 4.4% | 6.0% | 4.6% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 4.3% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 2.9% | 2.1% |
| William Crary | 6.4% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 0.8% |
| Drew Gallagher | 4.9% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 0.6% |
| Sean Beaulieu | 3.4% | 3.1% | 4.6% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 9.0% | 7.2% | 8.9% |
| Joshua Walton | 7.4% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 0.5% | 0.3% |
| Dreugh Phillips | 6.0% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 1.8% |
| Clark Uhl | 9.3% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 9.4% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 2.7% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 0.8% |
| John Lawless | 3.3% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 9.1% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 7.3% |
| Hugh MacGillivray | 8.5% | 7.9% | 8.7% | 8.7% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.3% |
| John Fewell | 1.7% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 2.3% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 8.9% | 10.3% | 13.3% | 15.5% |
| Hannah Steadman | 8.4% | 8.0% | 9.9% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 2.7% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Jeffrey Adam | 3.0% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 3.2% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 6.2% | 10.6% | 10.6% | 13.5% |
| Dakota Northrup | 8.1% | 8.7% | 8.8% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 3.1% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 0.5% |
| Austin Powers | 2.8% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 8.5% | 6.2% |
| Michael Sabourin | 2.6% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 3.3% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 9.6% | 10.0% |
| Alexander Singh | 1.4% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 8.4% | 9.6% | 12.4% | 21.0% |
| Jack Famiglietti | 3.7% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 7.7% | 5.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.