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📊 Prediction Accuracy
36.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
19
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Naval Academy3.14+6.59vs Predicted
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2University of Rhode Island3.09+5.81vs Predicted
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3Brown University3.18+4.51vs Predicted
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4University of Vermont2.90+4.65vs Predicted
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5Fordham University2.71+4.75vs Predicted
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6Connecticut College3.21+1.27vs Predicted
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7University of Pennsylvania2.87+1.84vs Predicted
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8Brown University3.48-1.54vs Predicted
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9Old Dominion University2.82-0.21vs Predicted
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10Cornell University3.14-2.61vs Predicted
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11Eckerd College2.34+0.09vs Predicted
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12Christopher Newport University2.21+0.07vs Predicted
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13Boston University2.10-1.09vs Predicted
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14University of Florida2.20-2.15vs Predicted
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15University of South Carolina1.86-2.04vs Predicted
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16Salve Regina University2.21-4.44vs Predicted
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17SUNY Maritime College2.14-5.09vs Predicted
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18University of Virginia1.63-3.99vs Predicted
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19Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.90-6.43vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.59U. S. Naval Academy3.140.1%1st Place
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7.81University of Rhode Island3.090.1%1st Place
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7.51Brown University3.180.1%1st Place
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8.65University of Vermont2.900.1%1st Place
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9.75Fordham University2.710.0%1st Place
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7.27Connecticut College3.210.1%1st Place
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8.84University of Pennsylvania2.870.1%1st Place
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6.46Brown University3.480.1%1st Place
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8.79Old Dominion University2.820.1%1st Place
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7.39Cornell University3.140.1%1st Place
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11.09Eckerd College2.340.0%1st Place
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12.07Christopher Newport University2.210.0%1st Place
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11.91Boston University2.100.0%1st Place
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11.85University of Florida2.200.0%1st Place
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12.96University of South Carolina1.860.0%1st Place
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11.56Salve Regina University2.210.0%1st Place
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11.91SUNY Maritime College2.140.0%1st Place
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14.01University of Virginia1.630.0%1st Place
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12.57Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.900.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joshua Walton | 6.5% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 9.0% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 0.3% |
| Dakota Northrup | 8.0% | 6.5% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 1.2% | 0.2% |
| Hannah Steadman | 9.5% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 8.7% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 0.8% |
| William Crary | 5.6% | 7.9% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 2.3% | 3.2% | 2.0% | 0.7% |
| Matt Cappetta | 4.3% | 3.7% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 3.8% | 1.4% |
| Hugh MacGillivray | 9.7% | 8.3% | 9.1% | 8.7% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 0.5% |
| Drew Gallagher | 5.8% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 3.3% | 1.7% | 1.5% |
| Patrick Shanahan | 11.1% | 9.9% | 9.6% | 9.9% | 7.5% | 8.4% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Dreugh Phillips | 6.5% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 3.2% | 2.1% | 2.2% |
| Clark Uhl | 7.6% | 8.9% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 6.6% | 8.2% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 7.1% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 3.7% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Samuel Normington | 3.3% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 5.8% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 4.5% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 5.4% |
| Austin Powers | 2.6% | 3.3% | 2.6% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 4.0% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 9.4% | 7.3% | 8.9% | 7.9% |
| Michael Sabourin | 3.4% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 5.2% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 7.9% |
| Jack Famiglietti | 3.9% | 2.8% | 2.0% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 9.5% | 7.1% |
| John Fewell | 2.4% | 3.0% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 5.4% | 3.5% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 11.1% | 16.7% |
| Sean Beaulieu | 2.9% | 2.8% | 4.6% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 5.6% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 6.8% |
| John Lawless | 2.7% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 3.8% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 10.6% | 7.9% |
| Alexander Singh | 1.4% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 2.0% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 8.6% | 9.5% | 12.0% | 21.4% |
| Jeffrey Adam | 2.8% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 1.7% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 9.7% | 10.1% | 11.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.