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📊 Prediction Accuracy
17.6%
Within 2 Positions
4.8
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University3.48+4.72vs Predicted
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2Old Dominion University2.82+6.28vs Predicted
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3Connecticut College3.21+3.85vs Predicted
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4Eckerd College2.34+6.34vs Predicted
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5University of Florida2.20+5.66vs Predicted
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6Boston University2.10+5.41vs Predicted
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7University of Virginia1.63+5.87vs Predicted
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8Christopher Newport University2.21+2.54vs Predicted
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9Fordham University2.71+0.03vs Predicted
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10U. S. Naval Academy3.30-3.66vs Predicted
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11University of Vermont2.90-2.78vs Predicted
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12Salve Regina University2.21-1.22vs Predicted
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13University of Pennsylvania2.87-4.68vs Predicted
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14University of South Carolina1.86-1.81vs Predicted
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15Cornell University3.14-7.94vs Predicted
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16University of Rhode Island3.09-8.63vs Predicted
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17Brown University3.18-9.97vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.72Brown University3.480.1%1st Place
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8.28Old Dominion University2.820.1%1st Place
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6.85Connecticut College3.210.1%1st Place
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10.34Eckerd College2.340.0%1st Place
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10.66University of Florida2.200.0%1st Place
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11.41Boston University2.100.0%1st Place
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12.87University of Virginia1.630.0%1st Place
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10.54Christopher Newport University2.210.0%1st Place
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9.03Fordham University2.710.0%1st Place
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6.34U. S. Naval Academy3.300.1%1st Place
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8.22University of Vermont2.900.1%1st Place
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10.78Salve Regina University2.210.0%1st Place
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8.32University of Pennsylvania2.870.1%1st Place
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12.19University of South Carolina1.860.0%1st Place
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7.06Cornell University3.140.1%1st Place
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7.37University of Rhode Island3.090.1%1st Place
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7.03Brown University3.180.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Patrick Shanahan | 13.0% | 12.1% | 9.8% | 8.7% | 8.5% | 9.1% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Dreugh Phillips | 5.5% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 4.4% | 3.3% | 1.4% |
| Hugh MacGillivray | 9.0% | 8.5% | 9.3% | 10.2% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 0.4% |
| Samuel Normington | 3.7% | 4.5% | 3.1% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 8.7% | 8.8% | 8.0% | 7.9% |
| Jack Famiglietti | 2.7% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 5.2% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 4.6% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 8.7% | 9.2% | 9.1% |
| Michael Sabourin | 3.0% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 9.4% | 10.5% | 11.6% | 12.1% |
| Alexander Singh | 2.2% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 9.1% | 10.8% | 15.5% | 24.7% |
| Austin Powers | 4.0% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 9.4% | 10.1% | 8.9% |
| Matt Cappetta | 4.1% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 2.3% |
| Parker Loftus | 10.5% | 9.4% | 9.3% | 9.5% | 8.9% | 8.4% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 3.0% | 2.3% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.3% |
| William Crary | 6.8% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 3.7% | 2.9% | 1.7% |
| Sean Beaulieu | 3.0% | 4.2% | 2.5% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 9.9% | 9.8% | 9.2% |
| Drew Gallagher | 6.1% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 4.3% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 2.8% | 2.3% |
| John Fewell | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 6.0% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 11.0% | 13.8% | 18.1% |
| Clark Uhl | 10.1% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 2.7% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 0.8% |
| Dakota Northrup | 7.2% | 6.3% | 8.4% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 1.9% | 0.3% |
| Hannah Steadman | 7.5% | 9.6% | 9.4% | 6.8% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 1.5% | 0.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.