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📊 Prediction Accuracy
23.5%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Connecticut College3.21+5.70vs Predicted
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2U. S. Naval Academy3.30+4.42vs Predicted
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3University of Pennsylvania2.87+5.22vs Predicted
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4Brown University3.48+1.95vs Predicted
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5University of Rhode Island3.09+2.11vs Predicted
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6Brown University3.18+1.13vs Predicted
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7University of Vermont2.90+1.07vs Predicted
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8Salve Regina University2.21+2.56vs Predicted
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9University of Virginia1.63+4.05vs Predicted
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10Cornell University3.14-3.01vs Predicted
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11Boston University2.10+0.29vs Predicted
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12Fordham University2.71-3.24vs Predicted
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13Eckerd College2.34-2.56vs Predicted
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14University of Florida2.20-3.03vs Predicted
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15Old Dominion University2.82-6.60vs Predicted
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16University of South Carolina1.86-3.90vs Predicted
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17Christopher Newport University2.21-6.16vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.7Connecticut College3.210.1%1st Place
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6.42U. S. Naval Academy3.300.1%1st Place
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8.22University of Pennsylvania2.870.1%1st Place
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5.95Brown University3.480.1%1st Place
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7.11University of Rhode Island3.090.1%1st Place
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7.13Brown University3.180.1%1st Place
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8.07University of Vermont2.900.1%1st Place
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10.56Salve Regina University2.210.0%1st Place
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13.05University of Virginia1.630.0%1st Place
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6.99Cornell University3.140.1%1st Place
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11.29Boston University2.100.0%1st Place
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8.76Fordham University2.710.1%1st Place
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10.44Eckerd College2.340.0%1st Place
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10.97University of Florida2.200.0%1st Place
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8.4Old Dominion University2.820.1%1st Place
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12.1University of South Carolina1.860.0%1st Place
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10.84Christopher Newport University2.210.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hugh MacGillivray | 10.2% | 9.3% | 9.6% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| Parker Loftus | 9.8% | 10.8% | 7.2% | 10.7% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.3% |
| Drew Gallagher | 6.7% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 3.1% | 1.5% |
| Patrick Shanahan | 11.8% | 11.5% | 9.2% | 9.5% | 8.7% | 8.7% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.3% |
| Dakota Northrup | 8.7% | 8.4% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 8.4% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 3.8% | 2.7% | 2.0% | 0.7% |
| Hannah Steadman | 8.0% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 9.0% | 8.5% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 2.5% | 1.1% | 0.6% |
| William Crary | 6.3% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 8.8% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 2.5% | 1.0% |
| Sean Beaulieu | 4.0% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 9.9% | 8.8% | 9.0% |
| Alexander Singh | 1.3% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 5.3% | 3.6% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 9.5% | 16.0% | 26.7% |
| Clark Uhl | 8.2% | 8.3% | 9.0% | 7.8% | 8.7% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 0.6% |
| Michael Sabourin | 3.1% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 8.8% | 9.6% | 14.5% | 10.6% |
| Matt Cappetta | 5.0% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 3.8% | 2.8% |
| Samuel Normington | 3.9% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 9.8% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 7.7% |
| Jack Famiglietti | 2.2% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 11.0% | 10.0% | 9.7% |
| Dreugh Phillips | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 6.8% | 8.9% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 8.6% | 5.2% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 2.9% |
| John Fewell | 2.4% | 0.7% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 8.8% | 10.7% | 13.7% | 16.2% |
| Austin Powers | 2.2% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 10.2% | 9.9% | 10.0% | 9.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.