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📊 Prediction Accuracy
71.4%
Within 2 Positions
1.0
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1McGill University1.39+2.68vs Predicted
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2Tufts University2.17+0.56vs Predicted
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3Queen's University1.64+0.36vs Predicted
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4McGill University1.31-0.07vs Predicted
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5Middlebury College1.50-1.39vs Predicted
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6Amherst College-0.14-0.03vs Predicted
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7Brandeis University0.59-2.12vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.68McGill University1.390.1%1st Place
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2.56Tufts University2.170.3%1st Place
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3.36Queen's University1.640.2%1st Place
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3.93McGill University1.310.1%1st Place
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3.61Middlebury College1.500.1%1st Place
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5.97Amherst College-0.140.0%1st Place
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4.88Brandeis University0.590.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wesley Yland | 14.8% | 16.6% | 15.8% | 16.9% | 16.2% | 13.4% | 6.3% |
| Colin Patterson | 30.5% | 25.3% | 19.0% | 13.2% | 7.7% | 3.1% | 1.2% |
| Arielle Morgan | 18.1% | 15.7% | 20.3% | 19.3% | 14.1% | 9.4% | 3.1% |
| Charlotte Skinner | 12.8% | 12.8% | 15.3% | 16.4% | 19.6% | 16.6% | 6.5% |
| Jack Kerby-Miller | 13.9% | 18.3% | 16.6% | 18.1% | 16.4% | 10.9% | 5.8% |
| Joshua McAuliffe | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 6.8% | 10.7% | 16.7% | 56.8% |
| Jacob Hardy | 7.1% | 8.4% | 9.7% | 9.3% | 15.3% | 29.9% | 20.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.