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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.7
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Vermont2.70+6.41vs Predicted
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2Old Dominion University2.50+6.14vs Predicted
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3Cornell University2.54+5.03vs Predicted
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4Boston University2.91+2.35vs Predicted
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5Connecticut College2.81+1.73vs Predicted
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6SUNY Maritime College1.55+5.93vs Predicted
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7Brown University3.02-1.01vs Predicted
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8University of Virginia2.12+1.44vs Predicted
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9Christopher Newport University1.82+1.78vs Predicted
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10Eckerd College1.50+2.25vs Predicted
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11University of Rhode Island2.76-3.94vs Predicted
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12University of Pennsylvania1.95-1.37vs Predicted
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13Fordham University1.87-2.54vs Predicted
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14University of South Carolina1.36-1.69vs Predicted
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15U. S. Naval Academy1.60-3.34vs Predicted
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16Brown University2.70-8.80vs Predicted
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17Salve Regina University1.39-4.37vs Predicted
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18Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.47-5.99vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.41University of Vermont2.700.1%1st Place
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8.14Old Dominion University2.500.1%1st Place
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8.03Cornell University2.540.1%1st Place
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6.35Boston University2.910.1%1st Place
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6.73Connecticut College2.810.1%1st Place
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11.93SUNY Maritime College1.550.0%1st Place
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5.99Brown University3.020.1%1st Place
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9.44University of Virginia2.120.0%1st Place
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10.78Christopher Newport University1.820.0%1st Place
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12.25Eckerd College1.500.0%1st Place
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7.06University of Rhode Island2.760.1%1st Place
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10.63University of Pennsylvania1.950.0%1st Place
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10.46Fordham University1.870.0%1st Place
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12.31University of South Carolina1.360.0%1st Place
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11.66U. S. Naval Academy1.600.0%1st Place
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7.2Brown University2.700.1%1st Place
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12.63Salve Regina University1.390.0%1st Place
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12.01Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.470.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan Kite-Powell | 7.4% | 8.0% | 9.0% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 6.5% | 8.7% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 1.1% | 0.4% |
| Alec Chicoine | 6.0% | 5.0% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 7.9% | 9.4% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 2.8% | 1.9% | 0.6% |
| Connor Kelter | 6.1% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 3.4% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 0.8% |
| Josh Dochoda | 10.9% | 9.3% | 11.0% | 8.9% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 3.3% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.3% |
| Carter Pemberton | 10.2% | 11.0% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 8.5% | 7.2% | 8.5% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.3% |
| Andreas Adam | 2.5% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 4.4% | 2.7% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 9.9% | 12.0% |
| Sophie Hibben | 11.7% | 12.7% | 9.1% | 7.8% | 9.4% | 9.2% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 5.7% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Colin Suvak | 4.6% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 2.6% |
| Anders Hudson | 2.7% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 3.1% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 9.2% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 4.7% |
| Anna Huebschmann | 2.7% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 2.3% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 10.2% | 12.2% | 12.5% |
| Brendan Read | 9.5% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 8.8% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 8.8% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 3.9% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 0.4% |
| William Gallagher | 3.1% | 4.6% | 3.2% | 5.3% | 3.4% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 6.2% | 6.0% |
| Anders Ekholm | 4.2% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 5.6% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 7.9% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 4.9% |
| Jack Gonzales | 2.7% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 2.8% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 10.7% | 11.5% | 14.9% |
| Spencer Nora | 2.6% | 2.2% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 8.8% | 10.8% | 10.1% |
| Quinn Andersen | 7.8% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 9.7% | 7.9% | 8.9% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 0.6% |
| Jennifer Killian | 2.5% | 1.8% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 3.7% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 8.9% | 9.9% | 12.5% | 16.2% |
| Kyle Brego | 2.8% | 2.7% | 3.7% | 2.0% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 8.6% | 7.9% | 10.2% | 9.0% | 12.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.