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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.7
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston University2.91+5.59vs Predicted
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2Cornell University2.54+5.97vs Predicted
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3Old Dominion University2.50+5.18vs Predicted
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4Salve Regina University1.39+8.36vs Predicted
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5University of Vermont2.70+2.16vs Predicted
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6University of Virginia2.12+3.52vs Predicted
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7Brown University2.70+0.11vs Predicted
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8Brown University3.02-2.09vs Predicted
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9University of Pennsylvania1.95+1.27vs Predicted
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10University of Rhode Island2.76-2.82vs Predicted
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11SUNY Maritime College1.55+1.07vs Predicted
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12Connecticut College2.81-4.97vs Predicted
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13Fordham University1.87-2.55vs Predicted
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14University of South Carolina1.32-1.55vs Predicted
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15Eckerd College1.50-2.94vs Predicted
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16Christopher Newport University1.82-5.18vs Predicted
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17Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.47-4.66vs Predicted
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18U. S. Naval Academy1.60-6.46vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.59Boston University2.910.1%1st Place
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7.97Cornell University2.540.1%1st Place
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8.18Old Dominion University2.500.1%1st Place
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12.36Salve Regina University1.390.0%1st Place
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7.16University of Vermont2.700.1%1st Place
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9.52University of Virginia2.120.0%1st Place
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7.11Brown University2.700.1%1st Place
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5.91Brown University3.020.1%1st Place
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10.27University of Pennsylvania1.950.0%1st Place
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7.18University of Rhode Island2.760.1%1st Place
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12.07SUNY Maritime College1.550.0%1st Place
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7.03Connecticut College2.810.1%1st Place
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10.45Fordham University1.870.0%1st Place
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12.45University of South Carolina1.320.0%1st Place
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12.06Eckerd College1.500.0%1st Place
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10.82Christopher Newport University1.820.0%1st Place
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12.34Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.470.0%1st Place
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11.54U. S. Naval Academy1.600.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Josh Dochoda | 9.3% | 10.6% | 9.4% | 9.2% | 7.7% | 8.3% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 5.6% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
| Connor Kelter | 7.0% | 4.7% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 8.5% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 8.4% | 7.1% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 4.9% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 0.6% |
| Alec Chicoine | 6.1% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 8.4% | 7.6% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 1.2% | 0.9% |
| Jennifer Killian | 2.2% | 1.7% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 9.0% | 10.0% | 11.7% | 15.0% |
| Jan Kite-Powell | 9.0% | 9.8% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 0.5% |
| Colin Suvak | 4.7% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 7.4% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 3.5% |
| Quinn Andersen | 8.1% | 9.9% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 0.4% |
| Sophie Hibben | 11.5% | 11.6% | 11.7% | 9.9% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 5.3% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| William Gallagher | 3.4% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 6.4% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 3.9% |
| Brendan Read | 8.6% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 8.7% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 0.4% |
| Andreas Adam | 3.1% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 9.9% | 11.6% | 12.4% |
| Carter Pemberton | 9.4% | 9.4% | 7.9% | 8.4% | 8.1% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 3.6% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 0.3% |
| Anders Ekholm | 3.9% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 4.1% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 5.2% |
| Margaux Bacro-Duverger | 2.7% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 10.0% | 13.0% | 15.0% |
| Anna Huebschmann | 2.5% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 9.5% | 10.6% | 12.6% |
| Anders Hudson | 3.1% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 6.8% | 6.3% |
| Kyle Brego | 2.3% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 4.1% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 2.2% | 3.4% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 4.3% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 9.9% | 8.7% | 13.4% | 13.1% |
| Spencer Nora | 3.1% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 9.2% | 8.0% | 8.9% | 8.3% | 9.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.