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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.7
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Fordham University1.87+10.04vs Predicted
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2Cornell University2.54+6.19vs Predicted
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3University of Vermont2.70+4.63vs Predicted
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4Old Dominion University2.50+4.09vs Predicted
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5Boston University2.91+1.59vs Predicted
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6Brown University3.02+0.19vs Predicted
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7Brown University2.70+0.36vs Predicted
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8U. S. Naval Academy2.76-0.95vs Predicted
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9University of South Carolina1.36+3.82vs Predicted
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10Eckerd College1.50+2.57vs Predicted
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11University of Pennsylvania1.95-0.39vs Predicted
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12University of Virginia2.12-1.77vs Predicted
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13University of Rhode Island2.56-5.18vs Predicted
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14Christopher Newport University1.82-3.31vs Predicted
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15Connecticut College2.81-8.10vs Predicted
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16Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.47-3.56vs Predicted
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17Salve Regina University1.39-4.15vs Predicted
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18SUNY Maritime College1.55-6.07vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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11.04Fordham University1.870.0%1st Place
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8.19Cornell University2.540.1%1st Place
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7.63University of Vermont2.700.1%1st Place
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8.09Old Dominion University2.500.1%1st Place
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6.59Boston University2.910.1%1st Place
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6.19Brown University3.020.1%1st Place
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7.36Brown University2.700.1%1st Place
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7.05U. S. Naval Academy2.760.1%1st Place
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12.82University of South Carolina1.360.0%1st Place
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12.57Eckerd College1.500.0%1st Place
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10.61University of Pennsylvania1.950.0%1st Place
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10.23University of Virginia2.120.0%1st Place
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7.82University of Rhode Island2.560.1%1st Place
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10.69Christopher Newport University1.820.0%1st Place
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6.9Connecticut College2.810.1%1st Place
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12.44Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.470.0%1st Place
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12.85Salve Regina University1.390.0%1st Place
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11.93SUNY Maritime College1.550.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Anders Ekholm | 3.5% | 2.7% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 8.7% | 8.2% | 7.7% |
| Connor Kelter | 5.3% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 2.6% | 1.0% | 0.7% |
| Jan Kite-Powell | 7.3% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 6.6% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| Alec Chicoine | 6.5% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 1.1% |
| Josh Dochoda | 10.6% | 9.8% | 9.6% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| Sophie Hibben | 11.2% | 9.3% | 9.9% | 10.2% | 9.2% | 8.2% | 8.7% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 3.4% | 6.0% | 3.3% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Quinn Andersen | 7.5% | 8.5% | 9.6% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 6.4% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 2.8% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 0.5% |
| Jimmy Madigan | 7.8% | 10.7% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 7.9% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| Jack Gonzales | 2.1% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 9.2% | 11.1% | 13.3% | 16.2% |
| Anna Huebschmann | 2.5% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 2.0% | 3.6% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 9.8% | 10.0% | 13.6% | 13.4% |
| William Gallagher | 4.4% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 8.4% | 8.7% | 5.9% | 5.0% |
| Colin Suvak | 3.8% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 8.4% | 4.9% | 3.8% |
| Matthew Gibbs | 7.4% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 0.5% |
| Anders Hudson | 3.6% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 8.8% | 8.4% | 8.4% | 6.9% | 5.8% |
| Carter Pemberton | 8.4% | 8.6% | 9.1% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 8.4% | 8.2% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 0.3% |
| Kyle Brego | 2.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 12.2% | 15.0% |
| Jennifer Killian | 2.5% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 7.9% | 10.5% | 13.3% | 17.6% |
| Andreas Adam | 3.1% | 3.5% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 10.2% | 8.6% | 9.1% | 11.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.