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📊 Prediction Accuracy
16.7%
Within 2 Positions
3.9
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Old Dominion University2.50+7.40vs Predicted
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2Cornell University2.54+6.26vs Predicted
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3University of Vermont2.70+4.57vs Predicted
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4Connecticut College2.81+2.86vs Predicted
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5Fordham University1.87+5.70vs Predicted
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6University of Pennsylvania1.95+4.52vs Predicted
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7Brown University2.70+0.40vs Predicted
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8Boston University2.91-1.49vs Predicted
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9Eckerd College1.50+3.31vs Predicted
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10Brown University3.02-3.60vs Predicted
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11University of Rhode Island2.56-2.94vs Predicted
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12U. S. Naval Academy2.76-4.49vs Predicted
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13Salve Regina University1.39-0.47vs Predicted
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14University of Virginia2.12-4.52vs Predicted
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15University of South Carolina1.36-2.18vs Predicted
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16Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.47-3.48vs Predicted
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17SUNY Maritime College1.55-4.70vs Predicted
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18Christopher Newport University1.82-7.16vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.4Old Dominion University2.500.1%1st Place
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8.26Cornell University2.540.1%1st Place
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7.57University of Vermont2.700.1%1st Place
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6.86Connecticut College2.810.1%1st Place
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10.7Fordham University1.870.0%1st Place
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10.52University of Pennsylvania1.950.0%1st Place
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7.4Brown University2.700.1%1st Place
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6.51Boston University2.910.1%1st Place
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12.31Eckerd College1.500.0%1st Place
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6.4Brown University3.020.1%1st Place
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8.06University of Rhode Island2.560.1%1st Place
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7.51U. S. Naval Academy2.760.1%1st Place
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12.53Salve Regina University1.390.0%1st Place
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9.48University of Virginia2.120.0%1st Place
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12.82University of South Carolina1.360.0%1st Place
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12.52Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.470.0%1st Place
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12.3SUNY Maritime College1.550.0%1st Place
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10.84Christopher Newport University1.820.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alec Chicoine | 5.4% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 3.6% | 2.6% | 1.4% |
| Connor Kelter | 6.0% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 9.1% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 3.1% | 1.9% | 0.6% |
| Jan Kite-Powell | 7.7% | 6.1% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Carter Pemberton | 10.1% | 8.8% | 9.1% | 8.9% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.5% |
| Anders Ekholm | 3.8% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 6.2% |
| William Gallagher | 3.8% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 8.3% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 5.9% |
| Quinn Andersen | 7.8% | 9.5% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 0.4% |
| Josh Dochoda | 9.9% | 11.3% | 9.4% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 3.6% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Anna Huebschmann | 2.0% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 13.0% | 11.2% | 12.4% |
| Sophie Hibben | 11.1% | 8.6% | 9.6% | 8.1% | 8.9% | 8.7% | 9.0% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 4.3% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Matthew Gibbs | 7.1% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 5.1% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 1.2% |
| Jimmy Madigan | 7.8% | 8.9% | 6.9% | 8.4% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 1.1% | 0.4% |
| Jennifer Killian | 2.3% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 2.3% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 10.9% | 11.5% | 16.0% |
| Colin Suvak | 4.9% | 4.0% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 6.5% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 2.5% |
| Jack Gonzales | 2.2% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 8.5% | 8.8% | 13.8% | 17.7% |
| Kyle Brego | 1.9% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 9.0% | 12.1% | 15.3% |
| Andreas Adam | 2.5% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 2.4% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 10.2% | 12.3% | 13.1% |
| Anders Hudson | 3.7% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 3.9% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 8.4% | 7.5% | 6.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.