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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Old Dominion University2.50+7.43vs Predicted
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2University of Virginia2.12+8.08vs Predicted
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3Boston University2.91+3.82vs Predicted
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4Connecticut College2.81+2.95vs Predicted
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5Brown University2.70+2.40vs Predicted
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6Eckerd College1.50+6.38vs Predicted
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7University of Vermont2.70+0.45vs Predicted
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8University of Rhode Island2.76-0.86vs Predicted
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9U. S. Naval Academy2.76-1.89vs Predicted
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10Brown University3.02-3.58vs Predicted
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11Christopher Newport University1.96-0.38vs Predicted
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12Cornell University2.54-3.57vs Predicted
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13University of South Carolina1.32-0.13vs Predicted
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14Salve Regina University1.39-1.58vs Predicted
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15SUNY Maritime College1.44-2.41vs Predicted
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16University of Pennsylvania1.95-5.40vs Predicted
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17Fordham University1.87-5.96vs Predicted
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18Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.47-5.76vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.43Old Dominion University2.500.1%1st Place
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10.08University of Virginia2.120.0%1st Place
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6.82Boston University2.910.1%1st Place
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6.95Connecticut College2.810.1%1st Place
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7.4Brown University2.700.1%1st Place
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12.38Eckerd College1.500.0%1st Place
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7.45University of Vermont2.700.1%1st Place
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7.14University of Rhode Island2.760.1%1st Place
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7.11U. S. Naval Academy2.760.1%1st Place
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6.42Brown University3.020.1%1st Place
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10.62Christopher Newport University1.960.0%1st Place
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8.43Cornell University2.540.1%1st Place
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12.87University of South Carolina1.320.0%1st Place
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12.42Salve Regina University1.390.0%1st Place
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12.59SUNY Maritime College1.440.0%1st Place
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10.6University of Pennsylvania1.950.0%1st Place
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11.04Fordham University1.870.0%1st Place
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12.24Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.470.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alec Chicoine | 6.0% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 8.0% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 4.1% | 2.6% | 1.2% |
| Colin Suvak | 3.1% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 4.5% | 3.0% |
| Josh Dochoda | 9.1% | 8.2% | 8.7% | 8.2% | 8.7% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 2.5% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Carter Pemberton | 9.2% | 8.9% | 9.3% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 3.0% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 0.5% |
| Quinn Andersen | 7.6% | 11.0% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 2.5% | 1.2% | 0.5% |
| Anna Huebschmann | 2.4% | 1.8% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 9.2% | 9.7% | 11.4% | 14.7% |
| Jan Kite-Powell | 7.8% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 2.4% | 1.2% | 0.3% |
| Brendan Read | 8.1% | 10.2% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 3.8% | 2.4% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 0.4% |
| Jimmy Madigan | 7.9% | 7.7% | 9.5% | 8.4% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 2.9% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Sophie Hibben | 11.7% | 7.9% | 8.8% | 9.2% | 9.1% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.2% |
| Vir Menon | 4.8% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 5.6% | 3.7% | 2.3% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 5.0% |
| Connor Kelter | 6.5% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 8.3% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 3.7% | 2.1% | 1.0% |
| Margaux Bacro-Duverger | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 8.8% | 9.4% | 14.2% | 17.8% |
| Jennifer Killian | 2.6% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 4.1% | 7.1% | 8.7% | 9.4% | 13.5% | 14.2% |
| Aidan Molesky | 2.2% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 1.7% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 8.7% | 11.8% | 10.8% | 15.9% |
| William Gallagher | 3.2% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 9.4% | 5.4% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 5.2% |
| Anders Ekholm | 3.2% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 3.1% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 9.3% | 8.8% | 6.6% |
| Kyle Brego | 2.5% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 10.8% | 9.9% | 13.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.