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📊 Prediction Accuracy
16.7%
Within 2 Positions
3.9
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Vermont2.70+6.68vs Predicted
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2Cornell University2.54+6.29vs Predicted
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3Connecticut College2.81+4.17vs Predicted
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4Brown University3.02+2.14vs Predicted
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5Eckerd College1.50+7.18vs Predicted
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6Old Dominion University2.50+2.24vs Predicted
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7Boston University2.91-0.39vs Predicted
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8SUNY Maritime College1.44+4.45vs Predicted
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9University of Pennsylvania1.95+1.57vs Predicted
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10Brown University2.70-2.31vs Predicted
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11U. S. Naval Academy2.76-3.64vs Predicted
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12University of Virginia2.12-1.76vs Predicted
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13University of Rhode Island2.76-5.88vs Predicted
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14Christopher Newport University1.96-3.80vs Predicted
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15University of South Carolina1.32-2.06vs Predicted
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16Salve Regina University1.39-3.14vs Predicted
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17Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.47-4.44vs Predicted
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18Fordham University1.87-7.32vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.68University of Vermont2.700.1%1st Place
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8.29Cornell University2.540.1%1st Place
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7.17Connecticut College2.810.1%1st Place
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6.14Brown University3.020.1%1st Place
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12.18Eckerd College1.500.0%1st Place
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8.24Old Dominion University2.500.1%1st Place
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6.61Boston University2.910.1%1st Place
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12.45SUNY Maritime College1.440.0%1st Place
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10.57University of Pennsylvania1.950.0%1st Place
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7.69Brown University2.700.1%1st Place
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7.36U. S. Naval Academy2.760.1%1st Place
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10.24University of Virginia2.120.0%1st Place
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7.12University of Rhode Island2.760.1%1st Place
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10.2Christopher Newport University1.960.0%1st Place
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12.94University of South Carolina1.320.0%1st Place
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12.86Salve Regina University1.390.0%1st Place
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12.56Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.470.0%1st Place
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10.68Fordham University1.870.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan Kite-Powell | 7.0% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 8.4% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 8.8% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 3.5% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 0.6% |
| Connor Kelter | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 1.8% | 1.0% |
| Carter Pemberton | 7.4% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 8.4% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 8.7% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 3.0% | 2.3% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Sophie Hibben | 11.9% | 11.0% | 10.6% | 8.0% | 8.8% | 7.5% | 8.4% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.3% |
| Anna Huebschmann | 2.3% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 2.8% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 8.5% | 10.5% | 12.5% | 12.5% |
| Alec Chicoine | 6.6% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 5.6% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 1.1% |
| Josh Dochoda | 9.4% | 11.4% | 8.7% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 2.6% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 0.3% |
| Aidan Molesky | 2.3% | 1.7% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 4.1% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 10.6% | 12.1% | 14.8% |
| William Gallagher | 3.3% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 3.3% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 8.5% | 7.1% | 9.0% | 8.2% | 5.9% | 4.5% |
| Quinn Andersen | 8.3% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Jimmy Madigan | 7.9% | 9.0% | 7.0% | 9.4% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 2.3% | 1.5% | 0.3% |
| Colin Suvak | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 4.1% |
| Brendan Read | 8.6% | 8.7% | 8.1% | 8.4% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 3.3% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.0% |
| Vir Menon | 4.2% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 5.0% |
| Margaux Bacro-Duverger | 2.2% | 1.2% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 3.7% | 2.8% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 9.6% | 9.1% | 12.7% | 18.3% |
| Jennifer Killian | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 9.3% | 7.3% | 8.5% | 13.8% | 17.0% |
| Kyle Brego | 2.8% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 8.7% | 10.9% | 12.1% | 15.0% |
| Anders Ekholm | 3.8% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 2.7% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 8.4% | 6.6% | 4.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.