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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.7
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University3.02+5.29vs Predicted
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2Brown University2.70+5.50vs Predicted
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3Old Dominion University2.50+5.28vs Predicted
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4Boston University2.91+2.34vs Predicted
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5University of Virginia2.12+4.56vs Predicted
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6Fordham University1.87+4.72vs Predicted
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7Eckerd College1.50+5.16vs Predicted
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8Connecticut College2.81-1.23vs Predicted
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9Cornell University2.54-1.16vs Predicted
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10Christopher Newport University1.96+0.55vs Predicted
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11University of Rhode Island2.76-3.82vs Predicted
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12SUNY Maritime College1.55+0.27vs Predicted
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13U. S. Naval Academy1.86-2.42vs Predicted
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14Salve Regina University1.39-1.72vs Predicted
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15University of Vermont2.70-7.79vs Predicted
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16University of Pennsylvania1.95-5.58vs Predicted
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17Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.47-4.54vs Predicted
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18University of South Carolina1.36-5.40vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.29Brown University3.020.1%1st Place
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7.5Brown University2.700.1%1st Place
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8.28Old Dominion University2.500.1%1st Place
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6.34Boston University2.910.1%1st Place
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9.56University of Virginia2.120.1%1st Place
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10.72Fordham University1.870.0%1st Place
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12.16Eckerd College1.500.0%1st Place
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6.77Connecticut College2.810.1%1st Place
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7.84Cornell University2.540.1%1st Place
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10.55Christopher Newport University1.960.0%1st Place
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7.18University of Rhode Island2.760.1%1st Place
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12.27SUNY Maritime College1.550.0%1st Place
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10.58U. S. Naval Academy1.860.0%1st Place
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12.28Salve Regina University1.390.0%1st Place
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7.21University of Vermont2.700.1%1st Place
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10.42University of Pennsylvania1.950.0%1st Place
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12.46Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.470.0%1st Place
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12.6University of South Carolina1.360.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sophie Hibben | 10.6% | 11.3% | 9.4% | 9.6% | 8.5% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 2.6% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Quinn Andersen | 6.0% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 8.7% | 8.3% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.4% |
| Alec Chicoine | 6.5% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 7.4% | 3.8% | 2.6% | 2.0% | 0.8% |
| Josh Dochoda | 11.1% | 10.4% | 10.6% | 8.0% | 8.4% | 8.2% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.4% |
| Colin Suvak | 5.0% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 3.2% |
| Anders Ekholm | 3.4% | 3.2% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 8.8% | 8.0% | 5.7% | 6.9% |
| Anna Huebschmann | 2.5% | 3.1% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 9.9% | 9.9% | 12.2% | 11.8% |
| Carter Pemberton | 8.7% | 10.5% | 9.3% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| Connor Kelter | 7.1% | 6.2% | 8.2% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 0.5% |
| Vir Menon | 4.4% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 6.2% | 5.8% |
| Brendan Read | 9.3% | 8.6% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 5.6% | 8.0% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 0.5% |
| Andreas Adam | 2.1% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 3.3% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 9.7% | 12.3% | 14.1% |
| Karma Richards | 4.1% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 5.4% |
| Jennifer Killian | 2.5% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 8.3% | 8.9% | 12.2% | 14.5% |
| Jan Kite-Powell | 8.2% | 8.9% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 8.8% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 0.2% |
| William Gallagher | 3.2% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 8.4% | 5.3% | 8.1% | 6.6% | 5.0% |
| Kyle Brego | 2.6% | 1.5% | 2.6% | 4.1% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 10.5% | 9.2% | 12.3% | 14.4% |
| Jack Gonzales | 2.7% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 3.4% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 8.9% | 9.8% | 11.1% | 15.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.