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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Cornell University2.54+7.13vs Predicted
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2Boston University2.91+4.60vs Predicted
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3Brown University2.70+4.47vs Predicted
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4Brown University3.02+2.01vs Predicted
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5Old Dominion University2.50+3.00vs Predicted
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6University of Rhode Island2.76+1.07vs Predicted
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7University of Vermont2.70+0.28vs Predicted
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8University of Pennsylvania1.95+2.24vs Predicted
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9U. S. Naval Academy1.86+1.71vs Predicted
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10Christopher Newport University1.96+0.59vs Predicted
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11Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.47+1.42vs Predicted
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12Connecticut College2.81-4.91vs Predicted
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13Fordham University1.87-2.46vs Predicted
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14Eckerd College1.50-2.11vs Predicted
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15Salve Regina University1.39-2.44vs Predicted
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16University of Virginia2.12-6.29vs Predicted
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17University of South Carolina1.36-4.14vs Predicted
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18SUNY Maritime College1.55-6.17vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.13Cornell University2.540.1%1st Place
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6.6Boston University2.910.1%1st Place
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7.47Brown University2.700.1%1st Place
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6.01Brown University3.020.1%1st Place
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8.0Old Dominion University2.500.1%1st Place
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7.07University of Rhode Island2.760.1%1st Place
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7.28University of Vermont2.700.1%1st Place
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10.24University of Pennsylvania1.950.0%1st Place
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10.71U. S. Naval Academy1.860.0%1st Place
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10.59Christopher Newport University1.960.0%1st Place
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12.42Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.470.0%1st Place
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7.09Connecticut College2.810.1%1st Place
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10.54Fordham University1.870.0%1st Place
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11.89Eckerd College1.500.0%1st Place
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12.56Salve Regina University1.390.0%1st Place
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9.71University of Virginia2.120.0%1st Place
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12.86University of South Carolina1.360.0%1st Place
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11.83SUNY Maritime College1.550.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Connor Kelter | 7.1% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 3.6% | 1.9% | 1.0% |
| Josh Dochoda | 8.1% | 8.7% | 8.6% | 10.5% | 9.2% | 8.4% | 8.4% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 2.0% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
| Quinn Andersen | 7.7% | 6.8% | 8.4% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 3.9% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 0.8% | 0.6% |
| Sophie Hibben | 11.5% | 11.5% | 10.9% | 9.6% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.4% |
| Alec Chicoine | 6.8% | 8.6% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 8.3% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 3.3% | 2.1% | 0.8% |
| Brendan Read | 8.5% | 8.4% | 8.1% | 9.0% | 7.8% | 9.4% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 0.4% |
| Jan Kite-Powell | 8.2% | 8.9% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 0.6% |
| William Gallagher | 4.0% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 8.5% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 4.9% |
| Karma Richards | 3.4% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 3.8% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 8.4% | 4.4% |
| Vir Menon | 4.6% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 3.2% | 6.1% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 9.0% | 6.9% | 4.7% |
| Kyle Brego | 3.0% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 8.9% | 8.6% | 12.0% | 15.5% |
| Carter Pemberton | 8.8% | 8.1% | 9.1% | 9.1% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 4.4% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 0.4% | 0.5% |
| Anders Ekholm | 4.1% | 4.4% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 6.0% |
| Anna Huebschmann | 2.8% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 9.6% | 11.0% | 12.0% |
| Jennifer Killian | 2.2% | 1.6% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 9.3% | 11.3% | 16.2% |
| Colin Suvak | 4.0% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 3.3% |
| Jack Gonzales | 2.3% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 4.6% | 2.8% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 7.3% | 9.1% | 7.9% | 15.3% | 17.1% |
| Andreas Adam | 2.9% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 7.9% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 11.2% | 8.3% | 11.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.