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📊 Prediction Accuracy
71.4%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1McGill University1.39+2.66vs Predicted
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2Middlebury College1.50+1.60vs Predicted
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3Queen's University1.64+0.35vs Predicted
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5McGill University1.31-1.05vs Predicted
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6Amherst College-0.14-0.03vs Predicted
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7Brandeis University0.59-1.99vs Predicted
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8Tufts University2.17-5.54vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.66McGill University1.390.1%1st Place
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3.6Middlebury College1.500.1%1st Place
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3.35Queen's University1.640.2%1st Place
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3.95McGill University1.310.1%1st Place
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5.97Amherst College-0.140.0%1st Place
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5.01Brandeis University0.590.1%1st Place
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2.46Tufts University2.170.3%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wesley Yland | 14.5% | 16.6% | 16.3% | 17.7% | 15.8% | 14.2% | 4.9% |
| Jack Kerby-Miller | 14.0% | 17.5% | 17.0% | 18.2% | 16.6% | 12.8% | 3.9% |
| Arielle Morgan | 17.5% | 18.4% | 19.0% | 16.9% | 16.4% | 8.7% | 3.1% |
| Charlotte Skinner | 12.4% | 12.4% | 15.6% | 16.3% | 20.0% | 17.5% | 5.8% |
| Joshua McAuliffe | 2.4% | 3.1% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 8.2% | 17.2% | 57.8% |
| Jacob Hardy | 5.7% | 7.2% | 8.5% | 11.5% | 17.0% | 26.3% | 23.8% |
| Colin Patterson | 33.5% | 24.8% | 18.4% | 13.3% | 6.0% | 3.3% | 0.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.