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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Old Dominion University1.26+6.55vs Predicted
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2Boston University1.07+8.43vs Predicted
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3Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.13+2.89vs Predicted
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4Northeastern University1.07+5.25vs Predicted
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5Fordham University1.54+2.82vs Predicted
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6Eckerd College1.17+2.29vs Predicted
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7University of Pennsylvania1.77-1.27vs Predicted
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8University of California at Santa Barbara1.44-2.11vs Predicted
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9Jacksonville University1.70-2.31vs Predicted
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10Connecticut College1.00-0.78vs Predicted
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11George Washington University0.70-1.01vs Predicted
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12U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.29-0.65vs Predicted
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13Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.58-6.89vs Predicted
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14Webb Institute-0.08-1.13vs Predicted
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15Hope College-0.11-2.22vs Predicted
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16Florida State University0.37-4.79vs Predicted
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17SUNY Maritime College-0.52-3.09vs Predicted
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18University of Wisconsin-1.32-1.96vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.55Old Dominion University1.268.0%1st Place
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10.43Boston University1.073.4%1st Place
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5.89Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.1311.8%1st Place
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9.25Northeastern University1.074.6%1st Place
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7.82Fordham University1.545.8%1st Place
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8.29Eckerd College1.175.1%1st Place
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5.73University of Pennsylvania1.7711.9%1st Place
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5.89University of California at Santa Barbara1.4411.2%1st Place
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6.69Jacksonville University1.708.8%1st Place
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9.22Connecticut College1.004.5%1st Place
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9.99George Washington University0.703.7%1st Place
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11.35U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.292.5%1st Place
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6.11Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.5811.3%1st Place
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12.87Webb Institute-0.081.8%1st Place
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12.78Hope College-0.111.7%1st Place
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11.21Florida State University0.372.3%1st Place
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13.91SUNY Maritime College-0.521.1%1st Place
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16.04University of Wisconsin-1.320.4%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Blake Goodwin | 8.0% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Porter Bell | 3.4% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 9.6% | 8.1% | 5.2% | 2.1% |
| JJ Klempen | 11.8% | 9.8% | 9.8% | 9.9% | 10.4% | 9.1% | 8.3% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Joshua Dillon | 4.6% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 4.4% | 2.5% | 0.6% |
| Lucas Thress | 5.8% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 8.5% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Jordan Vieira | 5.1% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 3.9% | 2.5% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| Sofia Segalla | 11.9% | 10.8% | 11.3% | 10.0% | 8.2% | 9.3% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Ted McDonough | 11.2% | 10.4% | 10.9% | 9.8% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Patrick Igoe | 8.8% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 8.4% | 10.0% | 8.2% | 8.4% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 3.7% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| William Hurd | 4.5% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 5.8% | 4.2% | 2.7% | 0.6% |
| Tryg van Wyk | 3.7% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 8.4% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 2.0% |
| Annika VanderHorst | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 9.3% | 8.8% | 11.5% | 9.5% | 8.1% | 3.6% |
| Robert Ulmer | 11.3% | 9.7% | 9.8% | 10.7% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 2.7% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Marc Leyk | 1.8% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 9.3% | 11.3% | 13.3% | 15.2% | 8.6% |
| Gabriel "Gabe" Morreale | 1.7% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 2.7% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 8.8% | 9.8% | 13.1% | 15.2% | 9.1% |
| Carter Weatherilt | 2.3% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 8.0% | 9.6% | 9.2% | 10.0% | 7.4% | 3.5% |
| Nicole Ostapowicz | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 14.0% | 20.2% | 16.4% |
| Erin McDonagh | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 5.1% | 8.0% | 15.5% | 53.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.