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📊 Prediction Accuracy
26.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
19
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Connecticut College2.81+6.21vs Predicted
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2Brown University2.70+5.73vs Predicted
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3University of Vermont2.70+4.78vs Predicted
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4Brown University3.02+2.36vs Predicted
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5Cornell University2.54+3.57vs Predicted
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6University of Pennsylvania1.95+4.90vs Predicted
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7Boston University2.91-0.17vs Predicted
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8University of Rhode Island2.56+0.50vs Predicted
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9SUNY Maritime College1.55+3.45vs Predicted
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10U. S. Naval Academy1.86+1.31vs Predicted
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11University of Virginia2.12-0.77vs Predicted
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12Old Dominion University2.50-3.09vs Predicted
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13Fordham University1.87-1.90vs Predicted
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14University of Florida2.38-4.83vs Predicted
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15Eckerd College1.50-2.30vs Predicted
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16Salve Regina University1.39-2.75vs Predicted
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17Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.47-4.06vs Predicted
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18University of South Carolina1.32-4.40vs Predicted
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19Christopher Newport University1.96-8.54vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.21Connecticut College2.810.1%1st Place
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7.73Brown University2.700.1%1st Place
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7.78University of Vermont2.700.1%1st Place
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6.36Brown University3.020.1%1st Place
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8.57Cornell University2.540.1%1st Place
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10.9University of Pennsylvania1.950.0%1st Place
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6.83Boston University2.910.1%1st Place
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8.5University of Rhode Island2.560.1%1st Place
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12.45SUNY Maritime College1.550.0%1st Place
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11.31U. S. Naval Academy1.860.0%1st Place
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10.23University of Virginia2.120.0%1st Place
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8.91Old Dominion University2.500.1%1st Place
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11.1Fordham University1.870.0%1st Place
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9.17University of Florida2.380.1%1st Place
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12.7Eckerd College1.500.0%1st Place
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13.25Salve Regina University1.390.0%1st Place
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12.94Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.470.0%1st Place
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13.6University of South Carolina1.320.0%1st Place
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10.46Christopher Newport University1.960.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Carter Pemberton | 8.0% | 9.6% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 8.4% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| Quinn Andersen | 7.8% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 9.1% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 2.7% | 1.0% | 0.4% |
| Jan Kite-Powell | 8.2% | 9.0% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 1.3% | 0.8% |
| Sophie Hibben | 11.2% | 9.5% | 10.1% | 8.8% | 9.1% | 7.9% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Connor Kelter | 5.1% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 4.4% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 3.7% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 0.6% |
| William Gallagher | 4.7% | 3.3% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 5.6% | 6.8% |
| Josh Dochoda | 9.4% | 9.5% | 8.8% | 7.7% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 3.3% | 2.7% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Matthew Gibbs | 7.0% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 1.0% |
| Andreas Adam | 2.6% | 3.3% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 9.9% | 9.8% | 11.4% |
| Karma Richards | 3.7% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 5.2% | 3.1% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 9.2% | 3.9% |
| Colin Suvak | 3.8% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 6.3% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 3.1% |
| Alec Chicoine | 5.9% | 6.4% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 2.7% | 2.2% | 0.9% |
| Anders Ekholm | 3.7% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 2.7% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 4.8% |
| Samuel Armington | 5.9% | 4.0% | 6.2% | 4.1% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 3.7% | 1.6% | 1.7% |
| Anna Huebschmann | 3.0% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 9.1% | 10.1% | 14.4% |
| Jennifer Killian | 1.7% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 9.3% | 12.4% | 14.6% |
| Kyle Brego | 2.1% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 4.8% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 4.1% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 9.2% | 9.3% | 11.9% | 13.5% |
| Margaux Bacro-Duverger | 1.6% | 1.3% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 9.2% | 12.0% | 18.4% |
| Vir Menon | 4.6% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 3.3% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 7.6% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 3.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.