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📊 Prediction Accuracy
26.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.7
Avg Position Diff
19
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Old Dominion University2.50+7.58vs Predicted
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2University of Virginia2.12+8.26vs Predicted
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3University of Vermont2.70+4.75vs Predicted
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4Brown University2.70+3.63vs Predicted
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5Connecticut College2.81+2.41vs Predicted
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6Boston University2.91+0.82vs Predicted
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7University of Florida2.38+2.11vs Predicted
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8University of Pennsylvania1.95+3.19vs Predicted
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9Cornell University2.54-0.79vs Predicted
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10Fordham University1.87+1.26vs Predicted
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11Brown University3.02-4.67vs Predicted
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12Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.47+1.38vs Predicted
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13Christopher Newport University1.96-2.37vs Predicted
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14Salve Regina University1.39-0.56vs Predicted
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15University of Rhode Island2.56-6.81vs Predicted
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16U. S. Naval Academy1.86-4.76vs Predicted
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17Eckerd College1.50-4.22vs Predicted
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18SUNY Maritime College1.55-5.47vs Predicted
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19University of South Carolina1.32-5.74vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.58Old Dominion University2.500.0%1st Place
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10.26University of Virginia2.120.0%1st Place
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7.75University of Vermont2.700.1%1st Place
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7.63Brown University2.700.1%1st Place
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7.41Connecticut College2.810.1%1st Place
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6.82Boston University2.910.1%1st Place
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9.11University of Florida2.380.1%1st Place
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11.19University of Pennsylvania1.950.0%1st Place
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8.21Cornell University2.540.1%1st Place
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11.26Fordham University1.870.0%1st Place
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6.33Brown University3.020.1%1st Place
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13.38Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.470.0%1st Place
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10.63Christopher Newport University1.960.0%1st Place
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13.44Salve Regina University1.390.0%1st Place
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8.19University of Rhode Island2.560.1%1st Place
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11.24U. S. Naval Academy1.860.0%1st Place
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12.78Eckerd College1.500.0%1st Place
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12.53SUNY Maritime College1.550.0%1st Place
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13.26University of South Carolina1.320.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alec Chicoine | 4.9% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 2.2% | 1.1% |
| Colin Suvak | 4.3% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 4.8% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 2.9% |
| Jan Kite-Powell | 8.5% | 7.0% | 8.7% | 7.8% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 3.5% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 0.5% |
| Quinn Andersen | 6.8% | 9.4% | 7.5% | 5.7% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 1.8% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.3% |
| Carter Pemberton | 7.4% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 9.4% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| Josh Dochoda | 11.1% | 9.0% | 9.2% | 9.7% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Samuel Armington | 5.7% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 2.0% | 1.2% |
| William Gallagher | 4.0% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 6.0% |
| Connor Kelter | 7.7% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 2.3% | 1.6% | 1.2% |
| Anders Ekholm | 3.9% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 6.1% | 4.1% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 9.4% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 5.4% |
| Sophie Hibben | 10.1% | 10.5% | 10.2% | 9.6% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 8.5% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 4.7% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Kyle Brego | 1.7% | 2.3% | 1.5% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 10.0% | 12.5% | 14.7% |
| Vir Menon | 4.4% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 4.0% |
| Jennifer Killian | 2.8% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 10.1% | 11.7% | 16.0% |
| Matthew Gibbs | 7.4% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 0.9% |
| Karma Richards | 3.1% | 3.3% | 4.7% | 2.8% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 7.8% | 5.5% | 8.7% | 6.9% | 5.3% |
| Anna Huebschmann | 2.4% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 2.4% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 6.6% | 8.3% | 8.4% | 12.5% | 12.8% |
| Andreas Adam | 1.7% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 4.6% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 10.3% | 11.4% |
| Margaux Bacro-Duverger | 2.1% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 11.9% | 16.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.