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📊 Prediction Accuracy
47.1%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston University2.91+5.45vs Predicted
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2University of Virginia2.12+7.69vs Predicted
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3Brown University3.02+3.23vs Predicted
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4Cornell University2.54+4.10vs Predicted
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5University of Pennsylvania1.95+5.11vs Predicted
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6Connecticut College2.81+1.14vs Predicted
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7University of Rhode Island2.56+0.92vs Predicted
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8U. S. Naval Academy2.88-1.38vs Predicted
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9Brown University2.70-1.44vs Predicted
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10Old Dominion University2.50-1.99vs Predicted
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11University of Vermont2.70-3.43vs Predicted
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12Fordham University1.87-1.38vs Predicted
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13Eckerd College1.50-0.84vs Predicted
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14Salve Regina University1.39-1.46vs Predicted
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15University of Florida2.38-6.36vs Predicted
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16Christopher Newport University1.82-5.09vs Predicted
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17University of South Carolina1.32-4.28vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.45Boston University2.910.1%1st Place
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9.69University of Virginia2.120.0%1st Place
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6.23Brown University3.020.1%1st Place
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8.1Cornell University2.540.1%1st Place
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10.11University of Pennsylvania1.950.0%1st Place
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7.14Connecticut College2.810.1%1st Place
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7.92University of Rhode Island2.560.1%1st Place
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6.62U. S. Naval Academy2.880.1%1st Place
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7.56Brown University2.700.1%1st Place
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8.01Old Dominion University2.500.1%1st Place
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7.57University of Vermont2.700.1%1st Place
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10.62Fordham University1.870.0%1st Place
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12.16Eckerd College1.500.0%1st Place
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12.54Salve Regina University1.390.0%1st Place
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8.64University of Florida2.380.1%1st Place
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10.91Christopher Newport University1.820.0%1st Place
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12.72University of South Carolina1.320.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Josh Dochoda | 11.5% | 10.2% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 3.6% | 2.3% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 0.1% |
| Colin Suvak | 4.3% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 4.1% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 8.4% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 3.9% |
| Sophie Hibben | 10.6% | 11.2% | 9.0% | 10.4% | 7.3% | 8.5% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 3.7% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.4% |
| Connor Kelter | 6.5% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 1.3% |
| William Gallagher | 3.2% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 3.7% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 4.8% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 6.4% |
| Carter Pemberton | 8.3% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 8.9% | 9.4% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 8.4% | 4.5% | 6.1% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 0.2% |
| Matthew Gibbs | 6.7% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 0.8% |
| Maxwell Brill | 10.1% | 10.1% | 9.7% | 8.4% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 0.8% | 0.4% |
| Quinn Andersen | 6.2% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 8.8% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 4.4% | 7.0% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 1.9% | 0.9% |
| Alec Chicoine | 6.1% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 2.4% | 1.7% |
| Jan Kite-Powell | 9.3% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 1.8% | 0.9% |
| Anders Ekholm | 3.4% | 2.8% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 11.1% | 10.2% | 7.5% |
| Anna Huebschmann | 2.2% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 12.6% | 13.7% | 17.4% |
| Jennifer Killian | 1.5% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 4.2% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 7.7% | 9.4% | 8.6% | 14.9% | 22.4% |
| Samuel Armington | 5.5% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 2.3% |
| Anders Hudson | 3.1% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 9.0% | 9.0% | 9.7% | 9.6% |
| Margaux Bacro-Duverger | 1.5% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 11.4% | 15.1% | 23.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.