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📊 Prediction Accuracy
25.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston University2.91+5.02vs Predicted
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2Brown University3.02+3.73vs Predicted
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3U. S. Naval Academy2.88+3.22vs Predicted
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4University of Vermont2.70+3.09vs Predicted
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5Old Dominion University2.50+2.62vs Predicted
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6Cornell University2.54+1.57vs Predicted
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7University of Florida2.38+1.20vs Predicted
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8Eckerd College1.50+3.20vs Predicted
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9Salve Regina University1.39+2.57vs Predicted
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10Brown University2.70-3.11vs Predicted
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11University of South Carolina1.32+0.78vs Predicted
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12Christopher Newport University1.82-1.88vs Predicted
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13University of Virginia2.12-4.03vs Predicted
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14University of Pennsylvania1.95-4.47vs Predicted
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15Fordham University1.87-4.94vs Predicted
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16University of Rhode Island2.56-8.58vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.02Boston University2.910.1%1st Place
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5.73Brown University3.020.1%1st Place
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6.22U. S. Naval Academy2.880.1%1st Place
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7.09University of Vermont2.700.1%1st Place
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7.62Old Dominion University2.500.1%1st Place
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7.57Cornell University2.540.1%1st Place
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8.2University of Florida2.380.1%1st Place
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11.2Eckerd College1.500.0%1st Place
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11.57Salve Regina University1.390.0%1st Place
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6.89Brown University2.700.1%1st Place
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11.78University of South Carolina1.320.0%1st Place
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10.12Christopher Newport University1.820.0%1st Place
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8.97University of Virginia2.120.0%1st Place
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9.53University of Pennsylvania1.950.0%1st Place
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10.06Fordham University1.870.0%1st Place
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7.42University of Rhode Island2.560.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Josh Dochoda | 11.9% | 9.7% | 10.9% | 9.1% | 9.7% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 3.0% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 0.6% |
| Sophie Hibben | 12.4% | 12.2% | 9.9% | 10.6% | 9.3% | 8.6% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 3.2% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 0.4% |
| Maxwell Brill | 10.2% | 10.2% | 9.4% | 9.2% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 3.9% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 0.7% |
| Jan Kite-Powell | 7.8% | 8.3% | 8.5% | 8.7% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 3.6% | 1.9% | 1.1% |
| Alec Chicoine | 6.4% | 7.9% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 6.0% | 8.7% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 1.5% |
| Connor Kelter | 6.1% | 6.4% | 8.9% | 8.4% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 3.0% | 1.4% |
| Samuel Armington | 7.1% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 2.4% |
| Anna Huebschmann | 2.5% | 2.6% | 4.0% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 7.3% | 8.5% | 10.8% | 13.3% | 17.8% |
| Jennifer Killian | 2.4% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 9.5% | 11.0% | 13.4% | 20.6% |
| Quinn Andersen | 8.6% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 9.5% | 6.8% | 9.0% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 4.9% | 3.3% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 0.9% |
| Margaux Bacro-Duverger | 2.6% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 4.3% | 2.8% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 9.4% | 8.9% | 14.8% | 24.2% |
| Anders Hudson | 3.4% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 8.5% | 9.9% | 10.3% | 10.3% |
| Colin Suvak | 3.4% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 4.3% |
| William Gallagher | 4.6% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 8.7% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 10.1% | 7.7% | 5.9% |
| Anders Ekholm | 3.9% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 9.0% | 10.0% | 11.9% | 6.9% |
| Matthew Gibbs | 6.7% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 8.4% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 2.4% | 1.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.