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📊 Prediction Accuracy
77.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Texas A&M University at Galveston1.91+1.14vs Predicted
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2Tulane University0.43+2.45vs Predicted
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3Tulane University0.26+1.57vs Predicted
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4Tulane University1.61-1.54vs Predicted
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5Texas A&M University at Galveston0.16-0.33vs Predicted
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6University of Texas-1.04+0.80vs Predicted
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7University of Texas-1.31+0.23vs Predicted
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8Texas A&M University-0.17-2.67vs Predicted
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9Rice University-1.42-1.65vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.14Texas A&M University at Galveston1.910.4%1st Place
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4.45Tulane University0.430.1%1st Place
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4.57Tulane University0.260.1%1st Place
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2.46Tulane University1.610.3%1st Place
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4.67Texas A&M University at Galveston0.160.1%1st Place
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6.8University of Texas-1.040.0%1st Place
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7.23University of Texas-1.310.0%1st Place
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5.33Texas A&M University-0.170.0%1st Place
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7.35Rice University-1.420.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alex Schwinn | 40.5% | 27.7% | 17.2% | 8.8% | 3.9% | 1.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Miia Newman | 6.2% | 9.9% | 15.5% | 21.0% | 18.2% | 13.9% | 9.5% | 4.4% | 1.4% |
| David Graf | 7.0% | 10.4% | 12.9% | 16.2% | 19.3% | 17.3% | 11.2% | 4.1% | 1.6% |
| James Mcavoy | 29.6% | 28.8% | 20.6% | 11.6% | 6.6% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Thomas Braly | 6.8% | 10.7% | 14.8% | 15.1% | 15.1% | 16.9% | 11.1% | 6.4% | 3.1% |
| Anish Zute | 2.1% | 1.9% | 4.0% | 7.3% | 8.8% | 9.7% | 21.0% | 23.5% | 21.7% |
| Christopher Wilson | 1.4% | 1.9% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 5.6% | 11.2% | 15.8% | 25.7% | 31.2% |
| Catherine Bristow | 4.8% | 6.8% | 8.9% | 12.0% | 17.2% | 19.2% | 14.3% | 12.3% | 4.5% |
| Elena Busch | 1.6% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 8.6% | 15.7% | 23.5% | 36.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.