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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.0
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tulane University1.61+1.50vs Predicted
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2Texas A&M University at Galveston1.91+0.26vs Predicted
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3Tulane University0.26+1.64vs Predicted
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4Tulane University0.43+0.20vs Predicted
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5Texas A&M University at Galveston0.16-0.33vs Predicted
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6University of Texas-1.04+0.79vs Predicted
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7Texas A&M University-0.17-1.64vs Predicted
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8Rice University-1.42-0.62vs Predicted
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9University of Texas-1.31-1.80vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.5Tulane University1.610.3%1st Place
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2.26Texas A&M University at Galveston1.910.4%1st Place
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4.64Tulane University0.260.1%1st Place
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4.2Tulane University0.430.1%1st Place
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4.67Texas A&M University at Galveston0.160.1%1st Place
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6.79University of Texas-1.040.0%1st Place
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5.36Texas A&M University-0.170.0%1st Place
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7.38Rice University-1.420.0%1st Place
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7.2University of Texas-1.310.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| James Mcavoy | 31.1% | 25.9% | 19.6% | 13.4% | 6.4% | 2.7% | 0.9% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alex Schwinn | 35.2% | 30.3% | 17.8% | 9.6% | 4.6% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| David Graf | 7.2% | 9.3% | 12.7% | 15.9% | 18.2% | 18.5% | 11.9% | 5.1% | 1.2% |
| Miia Newman | 9.4% | 12.7% | 14.9% | 19.7% | 16.5% | 13.3% | 9.4% | 3.1% | 1.0% |
| Thomas Braly | 6.9% | 9.4% | 15.5% | 15.7% | 16.3% | 15.0% | 11.9% | 6.9% | 2.4% |
| Anish Zute | 2.2% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 6.2% | 8.6% | 11.7% | 19.1% | 24.3% | 21.6% |
| Catherine Bristow | 4.8% | 5.9% | 8.8% | 12.0% | 17.1% | 20.3% | 15.1% | 11.7% | 4.3% |
| Elena Busch | 1.6% | 1.4% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 5.2% | 8.8% | 13.2% | 25.2% | 37.2% |
| Christopher Wilson | 1.6% | 2.3% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 17.8% | 23.7% | 32.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.