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📊 Prediction Accuracy
88.9%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tulane University1.61+1.50vs Predicted
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2Tulane University0.26+2.75vs Predicted
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3Texas A&M University at Galveston0.16+1.75vs Predicted
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4Texas A&M University at Galveston1.91-1.87vs Predicted
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5Tulane University0.43-0.80vs Predicted
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6University of Texas-1.04+0.77vs Predicted
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7Texas A&M University-0.17-1.70vs Predicted
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8Rice University-1.42-0.64vs Predicted
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9University of Texas-1.34-1.74vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.5Tulane University1.610.3%1st Place
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4.75Tulane University0.260.1%1st Place
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4.75Texas A&M University at Galveston0.160.1%1st Place
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2.13Texas A&M University at Galveston1.910.4%1st Place
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4.2Tulane University0.430.1%1st Place
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6.77University of Texas-1.040.0%1st Place
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5.3Texas A&M University-0.170.1%1st Place
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7.36Rice University-1.420.0%1st Place
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7.26University of Texas-1.340.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| James Mcavoy | 29.2% | 28.5% | 20.0% | 12.7% | 5.9% | 2.9% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| David Graf | 5.6% | 7.2% | 13.6% | 19.5% | 18.1% | 16.7% | 11.0% | 6.5% | 1.8% |
| Thomas Braly | 6.3% | 8.7% | 13.6% | 14.5% | 17.8% | 18.6% | 13.2% | 6.0% | 1.3% |
| Alex Schwinn | 39.8% | 28.9% | 17.5% | 8.4% | 3.9% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Miia Newman | 9.2% | 13.9% | 16.9% | 17.0% | 14.9% | 14.2% | 8.2% | 4.5% | 1.2% |
| Anish Zute | 1.7% | 2.7% | 4.3% | 6.9% | 8.4% | 10.7% | 20.4% | 24.0% | 20.9% |
| Catherine Bristow | 5.2% | 5.6% | 8.9% | 12.5% | 18.6% | 19.4% | 15.1% | 10.4% | 4.3% |
| Elena Busch | 1.2% | 2.9% | 2.0% | 3.9% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 14.7% | 23.8% | 37.2% |
| Aaron Comen | 1.8% | 1.6% | 3.2% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 8.6% | 16.3% | 24.7% | 33.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.