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📊 Prediction Accuracy
77.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tulane University1.61+1.47vs Predicted
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2Texas A&M University at Galveston1.91+0.26vs Predicted
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3Tulane University0.26+1.59vs Predicted
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4Tulane University0.43+0.16vs Predicted
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5Texas A&M University-0.17+0.11vs Predicted
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6Rice University-1.42+1.20vs Predicted
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7University of Texas-1.91+0.87vs Predicted
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8Texas A&M University at Galveston0.16-3.29vs Predicted
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9University of Texas-1.04-2.35vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.47Tulane University1.610.3%1st Place
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2.26Texas A&M University at Galveston1.910.4%1st Place
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4.59Tulane University0.260.1%1st Place
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4.16Tulane University0.430.1%1st Place
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5.11Texas A&M University-0.170.1%1st Place
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7.2Rice University-1.420.0%1st Place
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7.87University of Texas-1.910.0%1st Place
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4.71Texas A&M University at Galveston0.160.1%1st Place
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6.65University of Texas-1.040.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| James Mcavoy | 31.8% | 25.1% | 21.1% | 12.3% | 6.7% | 2.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Alex Schwinn | 35.1% | 30.5% | 17.7% | 9.5% | 5.1% | 1.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| David Graf | 7.2% | 9.5% | 13.0% | 15.9% | 18.1% | 19.6% | 12.4% | 3.4% | 0.9% |
| Miia Newman | 9.2% | 12.1% | 16.1% | 20.0% | 16.6% | 14.4% | 8.2% | 3.0% | 0.4% |
| Catherine Bristow | 5.0% | 7.6% | 11.9% | 13.9% | 15.4% | 17.9% | 15.2% | 9.1% | 4.0% |
| Elena Busch | 1.4% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 3.7% | 7.1% | 8.9% | 17.8% | 30.9% | 25.7% |
| Arosh Chaudhari | 0.6% | 1.2% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 11.5% | 23.1% | 50.9% |
| Thomas Braly | 7.2% | 9.3% | 11.7% | 16.4% | 17.8% | 17.9% | 11.9% | 5.9% | 1.9% |
| Anish Zute | 2.5% | 2.6% | 4.0% | 5.7% | 9.1% | 13.0% | 22.4% | 24.5% | 16.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.