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📊 Prediction Accuracy
71.4%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1McGill University1.39+2.66vs Predicted
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2Tufts University2.17+0.57vs Predicted
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3Queen's University1.64+0.35vs Predicted
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5McGill University1.31-1.05vs Predicted
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6Brandeis University0.59-0.96vs Predicted
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7Amherst College-0.14-1.03vs Predicted
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8Middlebury College1.50-4.53vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.66McGill University1.390.1%1st Place
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2.57Tufts University2.170.3%1st Place
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3.35Queen's University1.640.2%1st Place
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3.95McGill University1.310.1%1st Place
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5.04Brandeis University0.590.1%1st Place
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5.97Amherst College-0.140.0%1st Place
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3.47Middlebury College1.500.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wesley Yland | 15.0% | 16.7% | 17.0% | 15.9% | 15.7% | 13.3% | 6.4% |
| Colin Patterson | 29.4% | 27.0% | 18.9% | 12.8% | 7.0% | 4.0% | 0.9% |
| Arielle Morgan | 18.0% | 17.6% | 17.9% | 20.3% | 12.8% | 10.7% | 2.7% |
| Charlotte Skinner | 12.7% | 12.3% | 16.1% | 15.8% | 19.5% | 17.0% | 6.6% |
| Jacob Hardy | 5.3% | 6.9% | 9.0% | 10.2% | 17.7% | 27.5% | 23.4% |
| Joshua McAuliffe | 2.7% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 6.4% | 10.1% | 17.5% | 56.5% |
| Jack Kerby-Miller | 16.9% | 16.6% | 17.2% | 18.6% | 17.2% | 10.0% | 3.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.