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📊 Prediction Accuracy
55.6%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tulane University0.48+2.35vs Predicted
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2Tulane University-0.71+3.88vs Predicted
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3Tulane University1.16-0.66vs Predicted
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4Texas A&M University at Galveston-0.52+1.18vs Predicted
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5Texas A&M University-0.60+0.34vs Predicted
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6Texas A&M University at Galveston-0.95+0.12vs Predicted
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7University of Texas0.14-3.02vs Predicted
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8University of Texas-1.12-1.56vs Predicted
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9Rice University-1.06-2.63vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.35Tulane University0.480.2%1st Place
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5.88Tulane University-0.710.0%1st Place
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2.34Tulane University1.160.4%1st Place
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5.18Texas A&M University at Galveston-0.520.1%1st Place
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5.34Texas A&M University-0.600.1%1st Place
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6.12Texas A&M University at Galveston-0.950.0%1st Place
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3.98University of Texas0.140.1%1st Place
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6.44University of Texas-1.120.0%1st Place
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6.37Rice University-1.060.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Catie Cullen | 19.7% | 20.0% | 17.7% | 15.6% | 11.7% | 8.6% | 4.1% | 2.2% | 0.4% |
| John Corrigan | 4.3% | 5.2% | 8.4% | 11.1% | 11.9% | 13.4% | 15.7% | 16.5% | 13.5% |
| Mary Berg | 37.5% | 25.4% | 17.4% | 10.5% | 5.6% | 2.2% | 1.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Megan Ferguson | 7.0% | 9.0% | 12.3% | 10.7% | 13.6% | 14.2% | 13.0% | 12.4% | 7.8% |
| Alexandra Oyston | 6.5% | 9.2% | 10.5% | 13.7% | 10.5% | 11.7% | 14.7% | 11.9% | 11.3% |
| Christian Taylor | 4.3% | 4.9% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 11.6% | 11.3% | 16.4% | 17.7% | 17.6% |
| Emily Verdoia | 11.6% | 17.7% | 14.9% | 15.7% | 15.9% | 11.7% | 6.9% | 4.6% | 1.0% |
| Gabriella Wong | 4.5% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 10.2% | 12.5% | 13.1% | 18.3% | 24.9% |
| Anna Cole | 4.6% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 7.7% | 9.0% | 14.4% | 14.8% | 16.3% | 23.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.