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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tulane University-0.71+4.68vs Predicted
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2Tulane University1.16+0.44vs Predicted
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3Texas A&M University at Galveston-0.52+2.35vs Predicted
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4University of Texas0.14-0.11vs Predicted
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5Tulane University0.48-1.71vs Predicted
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6Texas A&M University-0.60-0.61vs Predicted
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7Texas A&M University at Galveston-0.95-0.83vs Predicted
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8Rice University-1.06-1.64vs Predicted
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9University of Texas-1.12-2.57vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.68Tulane University-0.710.1%1st Place
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2.44Tulane University1.160.3%1st Place
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5.35Texas A&M University at Galveston-0.520.1%1st Place
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3.89University of Texas0.140.1%1st Place
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3.29Tulane University0.480.2%1st Place
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5.39Texas A&M University-0.600.1%1st Place
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6.17Texas A&M University at Galveston-0.950.0%1st Place
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6.36Rice University-1.060.0%1st Place
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6.43University of Texas-1.120.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| John Corrigan | 5.9% | 5.9% | 9.7% | 8.9% | 13.5% | 13.7% | 15.7% | 14.6% | 12.1% |
| Mary Berg | 33.9% | 27.4% | 17.0% | 11.3% | 6.0% | 2.4% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Megan Ferguson | 6.5% | 7.5% | 10.5% | 12.4% | 12.1% | 15.0% | 14.6% | 12.8% | 8.6% |
| Emily Verdoia | 12.5% | 16.2% | 18.8% | 17.9% | 11.4% | 10.6% | 6.9% | 4.1% | 1.6% |
| Catie Cullen | 21.3% | 22.4% | 16.1% | 13.7% | 11.3% | 7.5% | 4.6% | 2.0% | 1.1% |
| Alexandra Oyston | 6.3% | 7.4% | 9.9% | 12.1% | 13.8% | 14.4% | 13.8% | 12.5% | 9.8% |
| Christian Taylor | 4.4% | 4.1% | 6.5% | 8.8% | 12.4% | 12.3% | 16.0% | 17.6% | 17.9% |
| Anna Cole | 4.6% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 7.8% | 10.7% | 11.9% | 13.4% | 17.3% | 24.2% |
| Gabriella Wong | 4.6% | 4.4% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 8.8% | 12.2% | 13.7% | 18.5% | 24.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.