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📊 Prediction Accuracy
57.1%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at Los Angeles-0.06+7.09vs Predicted
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2University of California at Santa Barbara1.69+1.50vs Predicted
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3University of California at Santa Barbara1.07+2.00vs Predicted
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4Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.45+0.13vs Predicted
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5University of California at Berkeley0.26+2.34vs Predicted
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6University of Southern California1.72-2.39vs Predicted
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7University of California at Los Angeles0.52-0.78vs Predicted
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8University of California at Santa Cruz0.43-1.22vs Predicted
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9University of California at San Diego-0.73+1.04vs Predicted
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11University of California at San Diego-0.62-1.18vs Predicted
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12University of California at Davis-1.64+0.09vs Predicted
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13University of California at San Diego-0.45-3.72vs Predicted
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14University of California at Los Angeles-0.09-5.80vs Predicted
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15University of California at Davis-1.15-4.10vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.09University of California at Los Angeles-0.060.0%1st Place
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3.5University of California at Santa Barbara1.690.2%1st Place
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5.0University of California at Santa Barbara1.070.1%1st Place
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4.13Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.450.2%1st Place
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7.34University of California at Berkeley0.260.0%1st Place
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3.61University of Southern California1.720.2%1st Place
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6.22University of California at Los Angeles0.520.1%1st Place
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6.78University of California at Santa Cruz0.430.1%1st Place
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10.04University of California at San Diego-0.730.0%1st Place
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9.82University of California at San Diego-0.620.0%1st Place
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12.09University of California at Davis-1.640.0%1st Place
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9.28University of California at San Diego-0.450.0%1st Place
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8.2University of California at Los Angeles-0.090.0%1st Place
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10.9University of California at Davis-1.150.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Miles Picus | 3.4% | 3.0% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 9.9% | 9.5% | 9.1% | 12.7% | 11.0% | 7.6% | 5.8% | 3.0% |
| Dylan Finestone | 20.7% | 19.9% | 15.7% | 14.5% | 11.1% | 7.4% | 4.8% | 3.3% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kevin Leddy | 11.3% | 11.6% | 11.5% | 11.6% | 11.6% | 13.6% | 8.9% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 3.7% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Liam Hood | 15.1% | 16.7% | 15.1% | 12.7% | 13.8% | 8.9% | 6.5% | 4.9% | 3.3% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| David Hopkins | 3.8% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 9.6% | 9.8% | 11.6% | 10.0% | 8.5% | 9.7% | 5.6% | 3.4% | 1.3% |
| Will Paulsen | 20.6% | 17.9% | 16.7% | 14.1% | 10.1% | 8.5% | 5.0% | 3.8% | 2.3% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Abraham Dearden | 7.6% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 10.6% | 11.1% | 10.6% | 9.8% | 9.6% | 7.5% | 5.2% | 2.8% | 1.3% | 0.2% |
| Andrew Strike | 6.3% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 9.3% | 7.4% | 9.6% | 12.0% | 9.8% | 8.7% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 5.5% | 1.8% | 0.7% |
| Fisher Price | 2.3% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 9.3% | 14.2% | 15.4% | 15.2% | 11.1% |
| Grant Lin | 2.1% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 10.6% | 11.3% | 13.8% | 15.7% | 9.2% |
| Joseph Naro | 0.4% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 7.4% | 10.0% | 16.6% | 46.0% |
| Casey Bowers-Loeffler | 2.0% | 2.6% | 3.8% | 2.8% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 9.6% | 11.2% | 12.4% | 11.9% | 13.2% | 5.9% |
| Ankit Rastogi | 3.6% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 9.8% | 11.8% | 12.6% | 9.4% | 10.9% | 5.3% | 2.4% |
| Picasso Vasquez | 0.8% | 1.0% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 9.1% | 15.0% | 21.6% | 20.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.