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📊 Prediction Accuracy
21.4%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.45+3.11vs Predicted
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2University of California at Santa Barbara1.07+2.89vs Predicted
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3University of Southern California1.72+0.50vs Predicted
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4University of California at Santa Cruz0.43+2.78vs Predicted
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5University of California at Berkeley0.26+2.35vs Predicted
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6University of California at Los Angeles-0.06+2.25vs Predicted
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7University of California at Santa Barbara1.69-3.53vs Predicted
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9University of California at Los Angeles0.52-2.57vs Predicted
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10University of California at Los Angeles-0.09-1.74vs Predicted
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11University of California at San Diego-0.73-0.89vs Predicted
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12University of California at San Diego-0.45-2.71vs Predicted
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13University of California at San Diego-0.62-3.30vs Predicted
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14University of California at Davis-1.15-3.11vs Predicted
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15University of California at Davis-1.64-3.05vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.11Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.450.2%1st Place
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4.89University of California at Santa Barbara1.070.1%1st Place
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3.5University of Southern California1.720.2%1st Place
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6.78University of California at Santa Cruz0.430.0%1st Place
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7.35University of California at Berkeley0.260.0%1st Place
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8.25University of California at Los Angeles-0.060.0%1st Place
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3.47University of California at Santa Barbara1.690.2%1st Place
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6.43University of California at Los Angeles0.520.1%1st Place
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8.26University of California at Los Angeles-0.090.0%1st Place
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10.11University of California at San Diego-0.730.0%1st Place
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9.29University of California at San Diego-0.450.0%1st Place
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9.7University of California at San Diego-0.620.0%1st Place
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10.89University of California at Davis-1.150.0%1st Place
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11.95University of California at Davis-1.640.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Liam Hood | 15.9% | 16.9% | 15.3% | 13.8% | 11.3% | 7.9% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 3.6% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Kevin Leddy | 11.7% | 10.6% | 13.8% | 12.1% | 12.6% | 11.0% | 10.7% | 6.0% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 2.0% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Will Paulsen | 21.3% | 20.1% | 14.8% | 14.0% | 10.0% | 8.9% | 5.5% | 3.1% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Strike | 4.2% | 5.7% | 8.7% | 8.6% | 9.0% | 10.2% | 12.0% | 9.8% | 8.6% | 9.2% | 7.1% | 4.2% | 2.5% | 0.2% |
| David Hopkins | 3.7% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 10.1% | 9.8% | 10.3% | 11.4% | 9.7% | 8.7% | 5.8% | 3.5% | 1.1% |
| Miles Picus | 3.5% | 3.3% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 9.3% | 11.8% | 10.7% | 10.2% | 8.4% | 8.6% | 2.3% |
| Dylan Finestone | 21.9% | 18.6% | 15.8% | 15.6% | 10.5% | 7.8% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Abraham Dearden | 7.0% | 7.1% | 9.1% | 7.4% | 9.7% | 10.7% | 10.0% | 10.7% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 4.4% | 1.9% | 0.3% |
| Ankit Rastogi | 3.6% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 8.4% | 11.5% | 11.0% | 11.6% | 12.7% | 8.4% | 5.7% | 2.5% |
| Fisher Price | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 3.2% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 10.0% | 11.5% | 15.5% | 15.3% | 12.3% |
| Casey Bowers-Loeffler | 1.9% | 3.0% | 2.3% | 3.2% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 8.8% | 11.7% | 11.4% | 13.0% | 11.8% | 6.6% |
| Grant Lin | 1.5% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 9.4% | 11.5% | 11.5% | 13.7% | 12.7% | 10.0% |
| Picasso Vasquez | 1.5% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 10.2% | 15.4% | 19.6% | 21.6% |
| Joseph Naro | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 9.9% | 18.0% | 43.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.