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📊 Prediction Accuracy
42.9%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at Santa Barbara1.69+2.59vs Predicted
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2University of California at Berkeley0.26+5.02vs Predicted
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3University of California at Los Angeles-0.06+5.09vs Predicted
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4Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.45+0.17vs Predicted
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5University of California at Santa Cruz0.43+1.91vs Predicted
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6University of California at Santa Barbara1.07-0.90vs Predicted
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7University of Southern California1.72-3.58vs Predicted
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8University of California at San Diego-0.45+1.18vs Predicted
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9University of California at San Diego-0.62+0.79vs Predicted
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10University of California at Los Angeles0.52-3.44vs Predicted
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11University of California at San Diego-0.73-0.94vs Predicted
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12University of California at Los Angeles-0.09-3.79vs Predicted
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14University of California at Davis-1.15-3.06vs Predicted
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15University of California at Davis-1.64-3.04vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.59University of California at Santa Barbara1.690.2%1st Place
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7.02University of California at Berkeley0.260.0%1st Place
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8.09University of California at Los Angeles-0.060.0%1st Place
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4.17Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.450.2%1st Place
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6.91University of California at Santa Cruz0.430.0%1st Place
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5.1University of California at Santa Barbara1.070.1%1st Place
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3.42University of Southern California1.720.2%1st Place
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9.18University of California at San Diego-0.450.0%1st Place
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9.79University of California at San Diego-0.620.0%1st Place
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6.56University of California at Los Angeles0.520.1%1st Place
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10.06University of California at San Diego-0.730.0%1st Place
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8.21University of California at Los Angeles-0.090.0%1st Place
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10.94University of California at Davis-1.150.0%1st Place
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11.96University of California at Davis-1.640.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dylan Finestone | 21.4% | 18.1% | 16.9% | 12.8% | 10.0% | 8.3% | 5.9% | 3.7% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| David Hopkins | 4.5% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 8.7% | 10.2% | 10.8% | 12.2% | 9.1% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 3.2% | 0.7% |
| Miles Picus | 4.6% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 8.9% | 11.6% | 9.6% | 12.6% | 9.0% | 5.9% | 2.7% |
| Liam Hood | 15.2% | 15.4% | 15.3% | 13.9% | 12.7% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 3.6% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Strike | 4.4% | 5.3% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 8.8% | 11.5% | 9.8% | 11.2% | 9.4% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 4.5% | 3.0% | 0.9% |
| Kevin Leddy | 10.1% | 10.8% | 12.0% | 11.8% | 13.1% | 11.8% | 9.6% | 7.8% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 2.2% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Will Paulsen | 22.2% | 20.5% | 15.0% | 14.3% | 11.2% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 3.3% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Casey Bowers-Loeffler | 2.2% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 12.4% | 10.7% | 11.8% | 12.1% | 7.8% |
| Grant Lin | 2.6% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 6.6% | 9.0% | 11.6% | 12.7% | 16.1% | 13.5% | 8.4% |
| Abraham Dearden | 5.5% | 6.5% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 10.7% | 10.0% | 10.7% | 11.3% | 10.4% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 3.5% | 1.2% | 0.5% |
| Fisher Price | 1.3% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 7.5% | 10.6% | 11.5% | 16.6% | 14.6% | 11.8% |
| Ankit Rastogi | 3.4% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 8.2% | 9.5% | 9.6% | 11.2% | 11.4% | 9.6% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 2.7% |
| Picasso Vasquez | 1.9% | 0.8% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 7.3% | 11.4% | 13.6% | 20.9% | 21.8% |
| Joseph Naro | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 2.9% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 7.9% | 10.0% | 18.0% | 42.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.