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📊 Prediction Accuracy
57.1%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Southern California1.72+2.50vs Predicted
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2University of California at Santa Barbara1.69+1.50vs Predicted
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3University of California at Berkeley0.26+4.25vs Predicted
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4University of California at Los Angeles-0.06+4.19vs Predicted
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5University of California at Santa Barbara1.07+0.14vs Predicted
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6Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.45-1.76vs Predicted
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7University of California at Los Angeles0.52-0.78vs Predicted
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8University of California at San Diego-0.45+1.16vs Predicted
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9University of California at San Diego-0.73+1.04vs Predicted
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10University of California at Los Angeles-0.09-1.70vs Predicted
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11University of California at Santa Cruz0.43-4.14vs Predicted
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13University of California at Davis-1.15-1.97vs Predicted
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14University of California at San Diego-0.62-4.38vs Predicted
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15University of California at Davis-1.64-3.04vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.5University of Southern California1.720.2%1st Place
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3.5University of California at Santa Barbara1.690.2%1st Place
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7.25University of California at Berkeley0.260.0%1st Place
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8.19University of California at Los Angeles-0.060.0%1st Place
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5.14University of California at Santa Barbara1.070.1%1st Place
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4.24Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.450.2%1st Place
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6.22University of California at Los Angeles0.520.1%1st Place
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9.16University of California at San Diego-0.450.0%1st Place
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10.04University of California at San Diego-0.730.0%1st Place
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8.3University of California at Los Angeles-0.090.0%1st Place
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6.86University of California at Santa Cruz0.430.1%1st Place
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11.03University of California at Davis-1.150.0%1st Place
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9.62University of California at San Diego-0.620.0%1st Place
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11.96University of California at Davis-1.640.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Paulsen | 22.2% | 19.8% | 16.4% | 12.2% | 10.2% | 7.4% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Dylan Finestone | 21.2% | 19.2% | 15.6% | 16.2% | 9.5% | 7.8% | 4.7% | 3.1% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| David Hopkins | 4.7% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 11.0% | 10.8% | 10.1% | 10.8% | 7.9% | 6.5% | 3.2% | 0.7% |
| Miles Picus | 2.8% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 9.5% | 10.6% | 10.6% | 11.7% | 10.1% | 5.3% | 2.9% |
| Kevin Leddy | 9.3% | 10.6% | 13.2% | 12.3% | 12.4% | 10.6% | 10.9% | 7.5% | 5.6% | 3.7% | 2.3% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Liam Hood | 15.3% | 13.9% | 15.2% | 14.5% | 11.4% | 10.0% | 7.8% | 5.9% | 3.3% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Abraham Dearden | 7.2% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 9.1% | 10.6% | 9.9% | 10.5% | 10.3% | 9.8% | 7.0% | 4.9% | 3.3% | 1.0% | 0.4% |
| Casey Bowers-Loeffler | 2.5% | 2.6% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 9.7% | 10.6% | 11.3% | 11.9% | 11.8% | 7.5% |
| Fisher Price | 2.2% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 2.8% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 6.3% | 8.6% | 10.6% | 12.6% | 14.5% | 16.1% | 11.0% |
| Ankit Rastogi | 3.3% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 9.6% | 8.7% | 9.4% | 11.0% | 10.0% | 11.1% | 10.3% | 6.3% | 3.0% |
| Andrew Strike | 5.1% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 11.0% | 10.5% | 11.4% | 9.7% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 2.6% | 0.7% |
| Picasso Vasquez | 1.1% | 0.6% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 8.4% | 11.3% | 13.9% | 20.1% | 22.5% |
| Grant Lin | 2.7% | 2.4% | 1.4% | 3.1% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 11.7% | 11.5% | 13.7% | 13.7% | 8.9% |
| Joseph Naro | 0.4% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 7.4% | 9.0% | 19.3% | 42.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.