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📊 Prediction Accuracy
57.1%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Southern California1.61+1.61vs Predicted
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2University of California at Santa Barbara0.72+2.15vs Predicted
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3University of California at Los Angeles-0.24+3.70vs Predicted
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4University of California at Santa Barbara0.83+0.02vs Predicted
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5University of California at Los Angeles-0.44+2.33vs Predicted
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6Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.47+1.36vs Predicted
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7University of California at San Diego-0.54+0.28vs Predicted
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8University of California at Santa Cruz-0.80+0.17vs Predicted
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9University of California at Berkeley-1.40+0.87vs Predicted
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10University of California at San Diego-1.01-1.08vs Predicted
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12University of California at Davis-1.58-1.69vs Predicted
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13University of California at San Diego0.43-8.04vs Predicted
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14University of California at Los Angeles-1.91-3.04vs Predicted
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15University of California at Davis-2.62-2.65vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.61University of Southern California1.610.3%1st Place
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4.15University of California at Santa Barbara0.720.1%1st Place
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6.7University of California at Los Angeles-0.240.1%1st Place
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4.02University of California at Santa Barbara0.830.1%1st Place
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7.33University of California at Los Angeles-0.440.0%1st Place
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7.36Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.470.0%1st Place
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7.28University of California at San Diego-0.540.0%1st Place
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8.17University of California at Santa Cruz-0.800.0%1st Place
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9.87University of California at Berkeley-1.400.0%1st Place
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8.92University of California at San Diego-1.010.0%1st Place
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10.31University of California at Davis-1.580.0%1st Place
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4.96University of California at San Diego0.430.1%1st Place
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10.96University of California at Los Angeles-1.910.0%1st Place
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12.35University of California at Davis-2.620.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mason Comerford | 34.6% | 23.8% | 14.6% | 12.1% | 8.9% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sean Jawetz | 13.8% | 16.4% | 15.9% | 13.4% | 11.9% | 12.2% | 6.3% | 4.5% | 2.8% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Hallie Muller | 5.9% | 5.6% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 8.8% | 10.0% | 11.3% | 10.4% | 10.6% | 9.2% | 6.4% | 4.4% | 1.5% | 0.1% |
| Maxwell McKinney | 13.7% | 17.9% | 16.6% | 14.2% | 12.6% | 9.0% | 7.4% | 3.8% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ben Gerber | 2.9% | 4.3% | 6.4% | 9.8% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 12.6% | 11.1% | 8.9% | 9.4% | 8.2% | 6.5% | 3.4% | 1.0% |
| Liam Chaffey | 4.4% | 3.9% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 9.4% | 9.9% | 11.2% | 11.8% | 9.2% | 10.2% | 9.6% | 5.1% | 3.3% | 0.8% |
| Jason Barr | 4.4% | 4.9% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 8.7% | 9.5% | 8.9% | 10.1% | 13.5% | 9.6% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 3.0% | 0.9% |
| Gabrielle Lange | 2.6% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 11.6% | 11.2% | 11.5% | 9.6% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 2.5% |
| Ekaterina Goncharova | 2.3% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 3.4% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 11.9% | 14.4% | 15.4% | 14.3% | 8.1% |
| Cameron Khorsandi | 2.4% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 12.5% | 10.4% | 11.1% | 13.5% | 9.4% | 3.5% |
| Bradyn O'Connor | 1.6% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 10.2% | 11.4% | 16.6% | 17.7% | 11.9% |
| Yan Rui Goheen | 9.4% | 11.3% | 12.0% | 16.3% | 12.4% | 10.5% | 10.0% | 7.0% | 5.1% | 2.7% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Kristopher Wong | 1.7% | 0.7% | 1.5% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 3.1% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 12.0% | 14.2% | 22.1% | 20.4% |
| Adityavardhan Vijay Shah | 0.3% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 8.8% | 16.8% | 50.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.