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📊 Prediction Accuracy
64.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Southern California1.61+1.58vs Predicted
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2University of California at Santa Barbara0.72+2.11vs Predicted
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3University of California at Los Angeles-0.44+4.13vs Predicted
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5University of California at Santa Barbara0.83-1.00vs Predicted
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6Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.47+1.32vs Predicted
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7University of California at Los Angeles-0.24-0.30vs Predicted
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8University of California at San Diego-1.01+0.44vs Predicted
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9University of California at Santa Cruz-0.80-0.89vs Predicted
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10University of California at San Diego-0.54-2.55vs Predicted
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11University of California at Berkeley-1.40-1.16vs Predicted
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12University of California at Los Angeles-1.91-1.02vs Predicted
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13University of California at San Diego0.43-8.14vs Predicted
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14University of California at Davis-2.62-1.79vs Predicted
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15University of California at Davis-2.10-3.74vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.58University of Southern California1.610.4%1st Place
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4.11University of California at Santa Barbara0.720.1%1st Place
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7.13University of California at Los Angeles-0.440.0%1st Place
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4.0University of California at Santa Barbara0.830.1%1st Place
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7.32Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.470.0%1st Place
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6.7University of California at Los Angeles-0.240.1%1st Place
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8.44University of California at San Diego-1.010.0%1st Place
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8.11University of California at Santa Cruz-0.800.0%1st Place
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7.45University of California at San Diego-0.540.0%1st Place
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9.84University of California at Berkeley-1.400.0%1st Place
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10.98University of California at Los Angeles-1.910.0%1st Place
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4.86University of California at San Diego0.430.1%1st Place
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12.21University of California at Davis-2.620.0%1st Place
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11.26University of California at Davis-2.100.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mason Comerford | 36.1% | 23.0% | 15.2% | 10.7% | 8.7% | 3.0% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sean Jawetz | 14.2% | 16.7% | 15.4% | 13.3% | 12.0% | 12.4% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| Ben Gerber | 4.6% | 5.3% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 9.7% | 9.5% | 12.1% | 9.9% | 11.2% | 8.8% | 4.9% | 2.0% | 0.5% |
| Maxwell McKinney | 13.7% | 18.2% | 15.7% | 15.1% | 13.3% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 4.7% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Liam Chaffey | 3.1% | 3.9% | 6.9% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 9.6% | 10.0% | 10.0% | 12.1% | 9.4% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 2.5% | 0.5% |
| Hallie Muller | 5.5% | 4.2% | 8.0% | 8.8% | 9.2% | 11.6% | 11.4% | 9.8% | 11.3% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 3.4% | 1.5% | 0.2% |
| Cameron Khorsandi | 2.4% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 5.2% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 8.2% | 8.9% | 10.5% | 13.4% | 10.2% | 11.4% | 7.8% | 1.8% |
| Gabrielle Lange | 3.0% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 6.1% | 8.0% | 9.0% | 9.3% | 11.7% | 10.6% | 11.6% | 9.8% | 5.0% | 2.1% |
| Jason Barr | 4.0% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 8.2% | 9.5% | 11.4% | 12.1% | 10.6% | 12.1% | 8.5% | 5.5% | 2.1% | 1.3% |
| Ekaterina Goncharova | 1.7% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 4.4% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 8.9% | 11.1% | 15.1% | 14.8% | 12.8% | 8.5% |
| Kristopher Wong | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 7.9% | 11.4% | 16.9% | 21.3% | 18.1% |
| Yan Rui Goheen | 9.4% | 11.3% | 13.5% | 15.6% | 11.6% | 11.8% | 9.8% | 7.4% | 4.6% | 2.7% | 1.6% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Adityavardhan Vijay Shah | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 6.4% | 11.3% | 18.8% | 45.9% |
| JJ Zhang | 0.5% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 4.1% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 10.0% | 14.1% | 25.9% | 20.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.