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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at Santa Barbara0.83+2.98vs Predicted
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2Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.47+5.04vs Predicted
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3University of California at Santa Barbara0.72+1.20vs Predicted
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4University of California at Los Angeles-0.44+3.14vs Predicted
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5University of Southern California1.61-2.40vs Predicted
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7University of California at Los Angeles-0.24-0.28vs Predicted
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8University of California at San Diego-0.54-0.79vs Predicted
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9University of California at Berkeley-1.40+0.65vs Predicted
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10University of California at Santa Cruz-0.80-1.81vs Predicted
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11University of California at San Diego-1.01-2.17vs Predicted
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12University of California at Los Angeles-1.91-0.96vs Predicted
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13University of California at Davis-2.10-1.65vs Predicted
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14University of California at San Diego0.43-9.18vs Predicted
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15University of California at Davis-2.62-2.77vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.98University of California at Santa Barbara0.830.2%1st Place
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7.04Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.470.0%1st Place
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4.2University of California at Santa Barbara0.720.1%1st Place
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7.14University of California at Los Angeles-0.440.0%1st Place
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2.6University of Southern California1.610.3%1st Place
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6.72University of California at Los Angeles-0.240.1%1st Place
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7.21University of California at San Diego-0.540.0%1st Place
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9.65University of California at Berkeley-1.400.0%1st Place
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8.19University of California at Santa Cruz-0.800.0%1st Place
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8.83University of California at San Diego-1.010.0%1st Place
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11.04University of California at Los Angeles-1.910.0%1st Place
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11.35University of California at Davis-2.100.0%1st Place
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4.82University of California at San Diego0.430.1%1st Place
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12.23University of California at Davis-2.620.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maxwell McKinney | 15.7% | 17.0% | 17.0% | 12.6% | 12.2% | 9.4% | 7.6% | 3.8% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Liam Chaffey | 3.4% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 8.8% | 7.3% | 9.4% | 11.0% | 11.8% | 12.1% | 8.8% | 7.6% | 4.0% | 2.6% | 0.6% |
| Sean Jawetz | 14.2% | 14.7% | 15.7% | 13.3% | 13.1% | 11.7% | 7.3% | 4.6% | 3.1% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Ben Gerber | 3.7% | 4.0% | 7.4% | 8.4% | 9.2% | 9.2% | 9.5% | 11.5% | 11.0% | 10.9% | 7.2% | 5.0% | 2.6% | 0.4% |
| Mason Comerford | 32.4% | 25.3% | 18.2% | 10.0% | 7.7% | 3.1% | 2.0% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Hallie Muller | 5.0% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 10.8% | 11.8% | 10.9% | 10.3% | 10.2% | 8.5% | 7.3% | 3.9% | 1.2% | 0.2% |
| Jason Barr | 4.6% | 4.3% | 6.6% | 8.2% | 6.2% | 10.0% | 11.9% | 11.0% | 9.2% | 10.2% | 9.3% | 5.3% | 2.4% | 0.8% |
| Ekaterina Goncharova | 2.2% | 1.5% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 5.4% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 12.2% | 11.5% | 15.2% | 13.7% | 7.9% |
| Gabrielle Lange | 3.3% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 8.4% | 9.8% | 12.9% | 13.6% | 12.3% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 1.7% |
| Cameron Khorsandi | 2.1% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 4.1% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 9.2% | 12.4% | 10.4% | 13.9% | 11.8% | 7.3% | 3.8% |
| Kristopher Wong | 0.8% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 2.3% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 11.2% | 17.6% | 21.5% | 18.4% |
| JJ Zhang | 0.5% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 10.9% | 17.7% | 23.0% | 22.1% |
| Yan Rui Goheen | 11.5% | 11.8% | 11.4% | 14.3% | 12.8% | 10.0% | 10.6% | 8.9% | 4.0% | 2.7% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Adityavardhan Vijay Shah | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 11.3% | 20.1% | 44.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.