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📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.7%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at Santa Barbara0.72+3.15vs Predicted
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2University of California at Santa Cruz-0.80+5.99vs Predicted
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3University of California at Los Angeles-0.44+4.14vs Predicted
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4University of California at Berkeley-0.01+2.04vs Predicted
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5University of Southern California1.61-2.43vs Predicted
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6University of California at Los Angeles-0.24+0.72vs Predicted
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7University of California at San Diego-1.21+2.09vs Predicted
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8University of California at San Diego-0.54-0.57vs Predicted
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10University of California at Davis-1.58+0.34vs Predicted
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11University of California at Los Angeles-1.91+0.17vs Predicted
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12University of California at San Diego-1.01-3.15vs Predicted
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13University of California at Davis-2.62-0.55vs Predicted
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14Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.47-6.82vs Predicted
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15University of California at Santa Barbara0.83-11.11vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.15University of California at Santa Barbara0.720.1%1st Place
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7.99University of California at Santa Cruz-0.800.0%1st Place
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7.14University of California at Los Angeles-0.440.0%1st Place
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6.04University of California at Berkeley-0.010.1%1st Place
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2.57University of Southern California1.610.3%1st Place
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6.72University of California at Los Angeles-0.240.0%1st Place
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9.09University of California at San Diego-1.210.0%1st Place
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7.43University of California at San Diego-0.540.0%1st Place
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10.34University of California at Davis-1.580.0%1st Place
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11.17University of California at Los Angeles-1.910.0%1st Place
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8.85University of California at San Diego-1.010.0%1st Place
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12.45University of California at Davis-2.620.0%1st Place
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7.18Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.470.0%1st Place
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3.89University of California at Santa Barbara0.830.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sean Jawetz | 14.3% | 16.7% | 16.4% | 14.3% | 9.8% | 9.0% | 9.4% | 4.4% | 2.9% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Gabrielle Lange | 2.8% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 9.7% | 11.0% | 11.3% | 10.6% | 8.2% | 6.1% | 1.8% |
| Ben Gerber | 4.7% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 8.4% | 9.1% | 10.0% | 10.9% | 10.9% | 9.8% | 8.8% | 5.3% | 2.1% | 0.9% |
| Tyler Hogan | 5.2% | 8.5% | 8.9% | 11.7% | 11.2% | 11.0% | 11.7% | 8.1% | 9.6% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 2.2% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| Mason Comerford | 33.3% | 25.9% | 16.5% | 10.7% | 7.3% | 3.3% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Hallie Muller | 4.7% | 5.8% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 9.8% | 12.4% | 11.3% | 9.8% | 8.9% | 9.1% | 6.3% | 4.3% | 1.9% | 0.3% |
| Warren Ko | 2.5% | 2.2% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 7.7% | 9.0% | 11.9% | 10.7% | 13.6% | 12.9% | 4.4% |
| Jason Barr | 4.7% | 4.6% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 8.7% | 9.9% | 10.1% | 10.7% | 9.9% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 4.2% | 0.9% |
| Bradyn O'Connor | 2.0% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 2.2% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 8.5% | 12.2% | 18.1% | 19.0% | 11.3% |
| Kristopher Wong | 1.3% | 0.8% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 2.8% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 11.1% | 13.2% | 22.7% | 23.0% |
| Cameron Khorsandi | 2.4% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 9.4% | 8.6% | 12.5% | 12.8% | 11.0% | 9.1% | 4.5% |
| Adityavardhan Vijay Shah | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 3.7% | 5.7% | 9.8% | 17.7% | 51.7% |
| Liam Chaffey | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 8.3% | 7.1% | 10.7% | 10.0% | 11.5% | 11.1% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 5.5% | 3.4% | 0.9% |
| Maxwell McKinney | 17.1% | 16.3% | 15.9% | 13.5% | 14.0% | 8.9% | 6.6% | 3.8% | 2.3% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.