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📊 Prediction Accuracy
20.0%
Within 2 Positions
4.5
Avg Position Diff
20
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Georgetown University5.19+4.97vs Predicted
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2College of Charleston4.76+5.69vs Predicted
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3Harvard University4.52+5.86vs Predicted
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4Washington College4.25+5.96vs Predicted
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5University of Vermont4.60+3.35vs Predicted
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6University of Miami3.99+5.30vs Predicted
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7St. Mary's College of Maryland4.83+0.69vs Predicted
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8SUNY Maritime College4.15+2.22vs Predicted
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9Hobart and William Smith Colleges4.49-0.18vs Predicted
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10University of South Florida3.74+2.32vs Predicted
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11Boston University2.00+6.89vs Predicted
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12Brown University4.28-2.00vs Predicted
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13U. S. Naval Academy4.34-3.05vs Predicted
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14University of Washington2.87+1.66vs Predicted
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15Yale University4.85-7.62vs Predicted
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16Stanford University3.64-3.39vs Predicted
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17Salve Regina University3.92-5.61vs Predicted
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18Old Dominion University3.47-4.50vs Predicted
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19Tufts University4.33-9.40vs Predicted
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20University of Wisconsin4.10-9.16vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.97Georgetown University5.190.1%1st Place
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7.69College of Charleston4.760.1%1st Place
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8.86Harvard University4.520.1%1st Place
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9.96Washington College4.250.0%1st Place
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8.35University of Vermont4.600.1%1st Place
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11.3University of Miami3.990.0%1st Place
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7.69St. Mary's College of Maryland4.830.1%1st Place
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10.22SUNY Maritime College4.150.0%1st Place
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8.82Hobart and William Smith Colleges4.490.1%1st Place
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12.32University of South Florida3.740.0%1st Place
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17.89Boston University2.000.0%1st Place
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10.0Brown University4.280.1%1st Place
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9.95U. S. Naval Academy4.340.0%1st Place
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15.66University of Washington2.870.0%1st Place
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7.38Yale University4.850.1%1st Place
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12.61Stanford University3.640.0%1st Place
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11.39Salve Regina University3.920.0%1st Place
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13.5Old Dominion University3.470.0%1st Place
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9.6Tufts University4.330.1%1st Place
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10.84University of Wisconsin4.100.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Charlie Buckingham | 13.1% | 11.2% | 10.5% | 10.1% | 8.9% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 2.4% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Juan Maegli | 8.5% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 1.7% | 2.7% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Alan Palmer | 6.0% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 1.3% | 0.3% |
| Joseph Blouin | 4.4% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 2.4% | 0.7% |
| Clinton Hayes | 6.3% | 7.9% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 2.8% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Nicholas Voss | 3.2% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 1.8% |
| Michael Menninger | 7.0% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 4.1% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 2.8% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Shawn Murray | 4.4% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 3.2% | 0.9% |
| Samuel Blouin | 5.6% | 5.4% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 4.0% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 1.0% | 0.6% |
| Britton Steele | 2.8% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 2.2% | 3.1% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 10.6% | 8.8% | 7.0% | 3.9% |
| Solomon Tarlin | 0.9% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 13.4% | 58.0% |
| Jeff Knowles | 5.2% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 2.6% | 0.5% |
| Robert Vann | 4.0% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 4.5% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 0.6% |
| Glen Stellmacher | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 7.4% | 13.3% | 21.0% | 19.3% |
| Thomas Barrows | 9.7% | 9.1% | 8.4% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Peter Stemler | 3.1% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 2.0% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 2.9% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 11.4% | 10.4% | 3.3% |
| Peter Pellegrini | 3.3% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 3.8% | 5.8% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 1.8% |
| Thomas O'Bryan | 2.1% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 10.4% | 10.6% | 14.1% | 5.1% |
| Tomas Hornos | 5.7% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 8.5% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 0.5% |
| Joseph Kutschenreuter | 3.9% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 2.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.