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📊 Prediction Accuracy
68.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.62+4.29vs Predicted
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2Roger Williams University0.94+3.39vs Predicted
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3Roger Williams University-0.47+5.58vs Predicted
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4Roger Williams University0.90+0.50vs Predicted
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5Roger Williams University1.39-1.45vs Predicted
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6Massachusetts Maritime Academy-1.62+6.01vs Predicted
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7U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.43-1.20vs Predicted
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8Roger Williams University0.39-2.00vs Predicted
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9Roger Williams University-0.15-1.42vs Predicted
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10U. S. Coast Guard Academy-0.35-1.70vs Predicted
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11Salve Regina University-0.93-1.23vs Predicted
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12University of Vermont-1.04-1.46vs Predicted
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13Salve Regina University-1.64-0.85vs Predicted
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14Unknown School-1.73-1.60vs Predicted
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15Salve Regina University-2.02-1.98vs Predicted
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16University of Vermont-1.28-4.87vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.29U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.6210.7%1st Place
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5.39Roger Williams University0.949.6%1st Place
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8.58Roger Williams University-0.473.9%1st Place
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4.5Roger Williams University0.9014.5%1st Place
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3.55Roger Williams University1.3922.1%1st Place
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12.01Massachusetts Maritime Academy-1.621.5%1st Place
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5.8U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.4310.3%1st Place
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6.0Roger Williams University0.398.9%1st Place
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7.58Roger Williams University-0.155.5%1st Place
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8.3U. S. Coast Guard Academy-0.353.9%1st Place
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9.77Salve Regina University-0.932.5%1st Place
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10.54University of Vermont-1.042.2%1st Place
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12.15Salve Regina University-1.641.1%1st Place
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12.4Unknown School-1.731.2%1st Place
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13.02Salve Regina University-2.020.8%1st Place
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11.13University of Vermont-1.281.4%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Richard Pokorny | 10.7% | 10.9% | 12.2% | 10.0% | 11.8% | 11.4% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 3.4% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Jakub Fuja | 9.6% | 11.7% | 11.1% | 10.4% | 11.6% | 10.0% | 10.5% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Hayden McCready | 3.9% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 8.3% | 10.1% | 10.2% | 9.4% | 10.2% | 7.5% | 4.5% | 2.9% | 0.7% |
| Dominik Moncur | 14.5% | 14.4% | 14.9% | 12.3% | 10.7% | 8.8% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Edward Herman | 22.1% | 18.9% | 16.3% | 13.1% | 9.6% | 7.6% | 5.5% | 3.5% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Colin Shearley | 1.5% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 9.0% | 11.7% | 13.5% | 16.0% | 15.4% |
| Madeline Murphy | 10.3% | 9.4% | 8.8% | 9.6% | 10.5% | 10.5% | 10.0% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 4.0% | 2.4% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Ludwik Grzelak | 8.9% | 8.0% | 9.7% | 10.2% | 10.3% | 10.4% | 9.4% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 6.8% | 4.3% | 2.8% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Sophia Fuller | 5.5% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 9.4% | 10.1% | 9.1% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 4.9% | 2.5% | 1.2% | 0.1% |
| John Fichtenholtz | 3.9% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 9.9% | 9.9% | 10.6% | 8.8% | 6.7% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 0.5% |
| Tyler Winowiecki | 2.5% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 10.1% | 10.5% | 10.0% | 10.2% | 8.7% | 5.8% | 3.0% |
| James Meyer | 2.2% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 9.6% | 11.7% | 11.8% | 11.8% | 8.3% | 5.5% |
| Olivia Blackmer | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 8.0% | 9.0% | 10.4% | 14.1% | 16.0% | 16.9% |
| Riley McKnight | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 9.1% | 9.8% | 13.7% | 17.1% | 20.2% |
| Victoria Sikorjak | 0.8% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 6.8% | 9.8% | 13.6% | 17.1% | 28.9% |
| Charlotte Green | 1.4% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 8.8% | 9.2% | 12.1% | 12.7% | 12.7% | 8.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.