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📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.9%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Old Dominion University1.26+6.47vs Predicted
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2Northeastern University1.07+7.16vs Predicted
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3Eckerd College1.17+5.26vs Predicted
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4University of Pennsylvania1.77+1.66vs Predicted
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5University of California at Santa Barbara1.44+0.79vs Predicted
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6Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.13-0.07vs Predicted
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7Boston University1.07+3.50vs Predicted
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8Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.58-2.04vs Predicted
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9U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.29+2.41vs Predicted
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10George Washington University0.70+0.03vs Predicted
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11Fordham University1.54-3.26vs Predicted
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12Jacksonville University1.70-5.32vs Predicted
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13Florida State University0.37-1.86vs Predicted
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14SUNY Maritime College-0.52-0.07vs Predicted
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15Connecticut College1.00-5.80vs Predicted
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16Hope College-0.11-2.87vs Predicted
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17University of Wisconsin-1.32-0.82vs Predicted
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18-0.08-5.17vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.47Old Dominion University1.266.3%1st Place
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9.16Northeastern University1.074.7%1st Place
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8.26Eckerd College1.175.8%1st Place
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5.66University of Pennsylvania1.7711.6%1st Place
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5.79University of California at Santa Barbara1.4412.0%1st Place
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5.93Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.1312.0%1st Place
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10.5Boston University1.073.1%1st Place
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5.96Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.589.9%1st Place
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11.41U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.292.5%1st Place
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10.03George Washington University0.703.7%1st Place
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7.74Fordham University1.546.9%1st Place
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6.68Jacksonville University1.708.6%1st Place
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11.14Florida State University0.372.9%1st Place
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13.93SUNY Maritime College-0.521.3%1st Place
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9.2Connecticut College1.005.0%1st Place
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13.13Hope College-0.111.4%1st Place
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16.18University of Wisconsin-1.320.7%1st Place
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12.83-0.081.5%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Blake Goodwin | 6.3% | 8.6% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 4.0% | 2.6% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Joshua Dillon | 4.7% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 4.4% | 2.4% | 0.6% |
| Jordan Vieira | 5.8% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 3.9% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 0.0% |
| Sofia Segalla | 11.6% | 11.6% | 11.4% | 9.7% | 8.8% | 9.7% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Ted McDonough | 12.0% | 10.2% | 10.3% | 10.3% | 9.8% | 8.8% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| JJ Klempen | 12.0% | 9.6% | 10.4% | 10.8% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 2.4% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Porter Bell | 3.1% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 9.2% | 7.4% | 5.2% | 1.1% |
| Robert Ulmer | 9.9% | 11.0% | 9.8% | 10.3% | 8.6% | 10.2% | 8.1% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Annika VanderHorst | 2.5% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 9.5% | 11.3% | 10.0% | 8.3% | 3.0% |
| Tryg van Wyk | 3.7% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 9.1% | 7.8% | 5.8% | 4.1% | 1.1% |
| Lucas Thress | 6.9% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 8.5% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 3.4% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.3% |
| Patrick Igoe | 8.6% | 8.5% | 9.2% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 8.9% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Carter Weatherilt | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 9.0% | 8.5% | 8.7% | 11.2% | 6.5% | 3.5% |
| Nicole Ostapowicz | 1.3% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 9.5% | 13.2% | 20.7% | 16.6% |
| William Hurd | 5.0% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 1.9% | 1.1% |
| Gabriel "Gabe" Morreale | 1.4% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 8.3% | 11.4% | 14.1% | 17.0% | 9.4% |
| Erin McDonagh | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 7.5% | 15.4% | 54.9% |
| Marc Leyk | 1.5% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 8.9% | 10.4% | 13.9% | 14.6% | 8.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.