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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Southern California1.61+1.61vs Predicted
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2University of California at Santa Barbara0.83+1.95vs Predicted
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3University of California at Los Angeles-0.24+3.83vs Predicted
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4University of California at Santa Barbara0.72+0.29vs Predicted
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5Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.47+2.64vs Predicted
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6University of California at Los Angeles-0.44+1.54vs Predicted
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8University of California at San Diego-0.54-0.50vs Predicted
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9University of California at Berkeley-0.01-2.80vs Predicted
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10University of California at Santa Cruz-0.80-1.43vs Predicted
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11University of California at San Diego-1.21-1.17vs Predicted
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12University of California at Davis-0.91-3.09vs Predicted
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13University of California at San Diego-1.01-3.85vs Predicted
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14University of California at Los Angeles-1.91-2.62vs Predicted
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15University of California at Davis-1.58-4.43vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.61University of Southern California1.610.4%1st Place
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3.95University of California at Santa Barbara0.830.2%1st Place
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6.83University of California at Los Angeles-0.240.1%1st Place
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4.29University of California at Santa Barbara0.720.1%1st Place
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7.64Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.470.0%1st Place
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7.54University of California at Los Angeles-0.440.0%1st Place
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7.5University of California at San Diego-0.540.0%1st Place
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6.2University of California at Berkeley-0.010.1%1st Place
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8.57University of California at Santa Cruz-0.800.0%1st Place
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9.83University of California at San Diego-1.210.0%1st Place
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8.91University of California at Davis-0.910.0%1st Place
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9.15University of California at San Diego-1.010.0%1st Place
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11.38University of California at Los Angeles-1.910.0%1st Place
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10.57University of California at Davis-1.580.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mason Comerford | 35.2% | 23.9% | 14.2% | 12.1% | 7.5% | 3.6% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Maxwell McKinney | 15.9% | 17.7% | 16.6% | 13.7% | 11.3% | 10.3% | 5.5% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Hallie Muller | 5.5% | 6.5% | 8.8% | 7.4% | 9.4% | 7.9% | 10.8% | 9.1% | 9.7% | 8.9% | 7.0% | 5.1% | 2.9% | 1.0% |
| Sean Jawetz | 11.4% | 16.8% | 16.4% | 14.9% | 11.2% | 10.7% | 6.8% | 4.7% | 3.4% | 2.2% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Liam Chaffey | 3.2% | 3.9% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 10.7% | 8.8% | 9.3% | 9.3% | 9.5% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 2.2% |
| Ben Gerber | 4.5% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 6.8% | 8.8% | 9.7% | 10.4% | 8.2% | 10.9% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 2.3% |
| Jason Barr | 4.6% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 9.0% | 8.3% | 10.3% | 9.8% | 9.4% | 8.6% | 7.2% | 5.1% | 2.0% |
| Tyler Hogan | 7.1% | 8.7% | 8.0% | 10.0% | 11.0% | 10.5% | 9.6% | 9.0% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 4.3% | 1.6% | 0.6% |
| Gabrielle Lange | 3.3% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 11.2% | 8.7% | 12.0% | 10.2% | 11.7% | 7.0% | 5.1% |
| Warren Ko | 1.8% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 1.7% | 3.5% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 10.6% | 9.8% | 12.6% | 13.9% | 13.6% |
| Burak Kocal | 2.9% | 2.3% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 8.8% | 9.2% | 10.3% | 11.0% | 10.8% | 10.0% | 7.3% |
| Cameron Khorsandi | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 10.6% | 9.6% | 10.6% | 10.1% | 10.9% | 9.5% |
| Kristopher Wong | 1.5% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 9.0% | 10.2% | 16.3% | 36.8% |
| Bradyn O'Connor | 1.1% | 1.6% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 8.6% | 13.1% | 21.0% | 19.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.