← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
75.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1University of British Columbia0.70+3.21vs Predicted
-
2Western Washington University1.75+0.60vs Predicted
-
3University of Oregon0.32+1.94vs Predicted
-
4University of Washington-0.16+1.80vs Predicted
-
5Western Washington University0.52-0.38vs Predicted
-
7Western Washington University0.26-1.96vs Predicted
-
8Western Washington University-0.42-1.78vs Predicted
-
9University of Washington1.74-6.43vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
4.21University of British Columbia0.700.1%1st Place
-
2.6Western Washington University1.750.3%1st Place
-
4.94University of Oregon0.320.1%1st Place
-
5.8University of Washington-0.160.0%1st Place
-
4.62Western Washington University0.520.1%1st Place
-
5.04Western Washington University0.260.1%1st Place
-
6.22Western Washington University-0.420.0%1st Place
-
2.57University of Washington1.740.3%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Georg Lauritsen | 10.7% | 12.8% | 14.8% | 17.1% | 15.0% | 15.0% | 9.5% | 5.1% |
| Chloe Dawson | 29.1% | 27.2% | 18.4% | 12.1% | 7.9% | 4.1% | 1.2% | 0.0% |
| Sam Reul | 7.2% | 8.0% | 11.3% | 13.3% | 16.0% | 16.0% | 17.7% | 10.5% |
| Shaan Shridhar | 4.1% | 4.9% | 6.9% | 8.8% | 13.2% | 16.2% | 20.6% | 25.3% |
| Ezekiel Ward | 7.3% | 9.9% | 14.2% | 15.9% | 16.1% | 15.0% | 14.1% | 7.5% |
| Kendall Kracke | 6.8% | 7.6% | 10.8% | 13.9% | 14.5% | 16.4% | 16.4% | 13.6% |
| Yumi-Shika Shridhar | 3.8% | 3.6% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 10.5% | 12.9% | 19.4% | 37.8% |
| Karl Skeel | 31.0% | 26.0% | 18.1% | 12.4% | 6.8% | 4.4% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.