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📊 Prediction Accuracy
57.1%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Western Washington University0.52+2.97vs Predicted
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2Western Washington University1.75+0.31vs Predicted
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3University of Oregon0.32+1.38vs Predicted
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4Western Washington University0.26+0.52vs Predicted
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6Western Washington University-0.42-0.53vs Predicted
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7University of Washington1.74-4.63vs Predicted
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8University of Washington-0.16-3.01vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.97Western Washington University0.520.1%1st Place
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2.31Western Washington University1.750.3%1st Place
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4.38University of Oregon0.320.1%1st Place
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4.52Western Washington University0.260.1%1st Place
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5.47Western Washington University-0.420.0%1st Place
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2.37University of Washington1.740.3%1st Place
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4.99University of Washington-0.160.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ezekiel Ward | 10.4% | 12.0% | 19.2% | 18.3% | 17.0% | 14.9% | 8.2% |
| Chloe Dawson | 33.0% | 30.9% | 18.7% | 10.0% | 4.8% | 2.3% | 0.3% |
| Sam Reul | 9.0% | 7.7% | 13.7% | 19.3% | 19.8% | 17.3% | 13.2% |
| Kendall Kracke | 6.5% | 10.2% | 11.8% | 16.9% | 20.3% | 19.8% | 14.5% |
| Yumi-Shika Shridhar | 3.4% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 11.4% | 15.4% | 21.3% | 38.0% |
| Karl Skeel | 32.8% | 27.3% | 19.9% | 12.5% | 5.6% | 1.6% | 0.3% |
| Shaan Shridhar | 4.9% | 7.3% | 10.8% | 11.6% | 17.1% | 22.8% | 25.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.