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📊 Prediction Accuracy
87.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Washington1.07+1.67vs Predicted
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2University of Washington1.53+0.18vs Predicted
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3Western Washington University0.36+0.77vs Predicted
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4Western Washington University-0.17+0.63vs Predicted
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5University of Oregon-1.62+1.77vs Predicted
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6Western Washington University-0.60-0.74vs Predicted
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7Western Washington University-0.01-2.61vs Predicted
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8Western Washington University-1.33-1.66vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.67University of Washington1.070.3%1st Place
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2.18University of Washington1.530.4%1st Place
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3.77Western Washington University0.360.1%1st Place
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4.63Western Washington University-0.170.1%1st Place
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6.77University of Oregon-1.620.0%1st Place
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5.26Western Washington University-0.600.1%1st Place
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4.39Western Washington University-0.010.1%1st Place
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6.34Western Washington University-1.330.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Laura Smit | 27.0% | 24.7% | 20.8% | 15.4% | 7.3% | 3.6% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Erik Skeel | 37.7% | 29.0% | 18.8% | 8.6% | 4.0% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Ben Morasch | 11.8% | 15.1% | 18.9% | 18.4% | 18.7% | 10.3% | 5.2% | 1.6% |
| Lena Captain | 6.5% | 9.9% | 11.3% | 18.1% | 18.1% | 18.3% | 12.4% | 5.4% |
| Duncan Jackson | 1.6% | 2.0% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 7.4% | 12.5% | 21.4% | 48.1% |
| Spencer Shear | 5.3% | 5.0% | 8.7% | 13.0% | 17.7% | 19.4% | 19.8% | 11.1% |
| Nikoline Alden | 8.1% | 10.8% | 14.0% | 17.7% | 18.0% | 17.4% | 10.4% | 3.6% |
| Mark Morrison | 2.0% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 8.8% | 17.0% | 29.3% | 30.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.