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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.9
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Washington1.53+1.14vs Predicted
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2Western Washington University0.36+1.79vs Predicted
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3University of Washington1.07-0.30vs Predicted
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4Western Washington University-0.01+0.38vs Predicted
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5Western Washington University-0.60+0.34vs Predicted
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6Western Washington University-0.17-1.42vs Predicted
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7Western Washington University-1.33-0.59vs Predicted
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8University of Oregon-1.62-1.33vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.14University of Washington1.530.4%1st Place
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3.79Western Washington University0.360.1%1st Place
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2.7University of Washington1.070.2%1st Place
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4.38Western Washington University-0.010.1%1st Place
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5.34Western Washington University-0.600.0%1st Place
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4.58Western Washington University-0.170.1%1st Place
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6.41Western Washington University-1.330.0%1st Place
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6.67University of Oregon-1.620.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Erik Skeel | 41.6% | 26.4% | 16.5% | 10.1% | 3.7% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Ben Morasch | 11.3% | 14.8% | 19.5% | 19.9% | 15.2% | 12.9% | 5.1% | 1.3% |
| Laura Smit | 24.4% | 27.2% | 21.2% | 13.9% | 9.2% | 3.1% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Nikoline Alden | 7.3% | 12.3% | 12.9% | 17.6% | 19.7% | 16.1% | 10.6% | 3.5% |
| Spencer Shear | 4.2% | 4.9% | 9.4% | 11.1% | 17.3% | 22.2% | 19.7% | 11.2% |
| Lena Captain | 7.4% | 8.2% | 13.6% | 17.0% | 18.9% | 18.4% | 11.1% | 5.4% |
| Mark Morrison | 2.7% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 5.6% | 9.8% | 13.1% | 26.5% | 35.7% |
| Duncan Jackson | 1.1% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 13.0% | 25.7% | 42.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.